2012-12 College Basketball

803 LSU +11.5 Alabama has been rolling recently against some very average teams. LSU should be able to give Bama a game as this team will play defense and rebound. Looking for a better offensive game from Stringer in his third game back. LSU has the size down low to give Green and Mitchel some problems and they could rely more on the outside shot which I believe will help LSU.

787 Missouri -4 I like this Iowa St. team but this is not a good spot or match up for them. Missouri going to flourish from the style of play in this game as Iowa St wants to play fast. Iowa St will probably throw up at least 25 3PT and will probably need to hit half of them to keep this close. Iowa St does not have the defenders on the perimeter that K St has and will also not have as much of a rebounding advantage although Royce White will probably be able to push around the Missouri front court. I think this Missouri team is too good to not come out with an absolutely focused and energy effort after their last game. No doubt that the home court will be a huge factor in this game and as loud as the Iowa St faithful will be at the Hilton center Missouri just played at Kansas St which should help them be ready for the intensity. Iowa St not flying under the radar anymore after their last two impressive wins. Both teams like the 3PT, but Iowa St more reliant on it as they get about 35% of their total points from 3. I am just not ready to start bailing Missouri yet, hopefully it works out.

741 Northwestern +8 Northwestern could be very efficient against the 1-3-1 opening up cutting lanes and back doors. Mirkovic could be the most underrated big man in the Big 10.

775 S. Miss +7.5 (2 unit play) My thought is that S.Miss is more than capable of going into Fedex Forum and winning this game. I played a bit on ML +285 but for the purposes of posting plays the +7.5 will be my play. This team is 4-1 ATS on the road and the only SU loses for this team all year are at Denver (very tough place to win) and on a neutral court 2 OT game against an undefeated Murray St. I think they have gotten better as the year has gone on now with the reinstatement of Dodson gives them another go to scorer and also 5 players that average double digits in scoring. Dodsen is a long athletic guard that can shoot from the perimeter could easily be a starter on this team and many D-1 teams if he can keep his head straight. The key will be on the defensive side with the play on Barton and Jackson for S. Miss but I think they have the rotation of players to stay with those two. 777 Will & Mary -4.5 Oh Towson, how bad are you? The answer is pretty bad with the most alarming stat that they manage to turn the ball over about 25% of their total possessions. This could be the best shot that Towson has at a win this year and that is probably why this line is as low as it is right now. For those that like to go contrarian Towson will be the pick for you as I am not sure who would want to put money on this team getting only 4.5 pts. Will & Mary also not very good, but they should understand who they are playing and come focused to get a win as they will have trouble finding many this year. Will & Mary did surprise me and beat JMU and since they are not just coming off that win, I like their chances to win by 5 or more here. 760 Maryland -6 Probably should jumped on the -5 but still going with it. Both teams are improving IMO, but have to give the edge to the home team with Maryland coming off a very tough road game with NC State. Wake Forest has gotten off to some slow starts and have really been a second half team and I never like to count on that on the road.

Good day Shoeman - - 4-1-2 Don't know if I could have gotten the Marylnd -5 / fm lk

Thanks Larry. Yeah once the Maryland line went to -6 I thought maybe -5 might come back but it never did at CRIS after about 930 this morning. I also went to place the ODU bet at about 8 this morning when it was -1.5 and as I clicked submit it goes to -2. Of course it lands on 2. Those are usually the only times I consider buying back the half point but I chose not to today. I got a later start today in placing my bets but it was unavoidable. That's ok though, both games could have easily turned to loses. The only game I was way off on today was the LSU play as Alabama just continues to dominate at home. FYI I am not sure what I will have the next couple of days and through the weekend. I am going out of town and not sure how much time I will have. I have only just started at looking at tomorrow and with so many games I do not know if I will get ahead and get to the following days. I will post anything I play as always and hopefully we can win a few.

742 Marquette -4 Marquette is probably going to have to work to get into their offense as quick as possible against the Louisville press zone, but I do like the way they are playing lately. They were able to play a very strong second half against Syracuse and feel like with the home court -4 is a good number. Who knows what Louisville will have offensively, if Kuric is out again I do not see Russ Smith being able to continue to put up a large volume of bad shots and this team be successful.

541 Michigan St -1 2 unit 556 Colorado St -6.5 543 Georgetown -9 554 Kentucky -16.5

2541 2H Michigan St/Michigan OVER 70

2556 2H BOISE ST v 2H COLORADO ST UNDER 77