2012-12 College Basketball

1550 1H Mich St -4 Think we get a focused Mich St team at home to get up early. Also with the Purdue travel issues makes for a nice 1H wager in my opinion.

2553 2H ALABAMA Over 70 Game not appearing to be a defensive battle. Most second halfs at 70 with Kentucky is an over play for me.

562 OKLAHOMA ST UNDER 136.5 Kansas St troubles at Oklahoma St are well documented. By now we have seen how Ok St is going to try and win games on the defensive end. I think both teams will be determined to slow down the other teams offensive attack and we get a grind it out game early on. 582 BAYLOR Under 150.5 This line moved as I put it in. Still can find 150, but it is now 149.5 at CRIS. Still playing at that number.

581 Mizz +4.5 Well I thought once it went to +5.5 I might be able to get 6 since it seemed that the entire world is on Baylor, but I guess someone out there still sees Missouri as an elite Big 12 Team. Very possible this goes back to 5 before game time, but I will post now. I am one that actually thinks this is a bad match up for Baylor and with Missouri already having played and lost at K St I think we will see a team that is more prepared for this tough road game. It seems there is a bit more love for Baylor since they are coming off a bad loss. Baylor will have the advantage down low of course but I am not convinced that they will fully exploit that as sometimes it does seem they settle for the outside shots. I do not think Baylor's guards will be as effective at creating and getting their own shots and I see them having trouble staying in front of Missouri's guards. The guards of Kansas really gave Baylor trouble as Kansas guards go about 6'4" to 6'6" and are quite long. Baylor guards in my opinion play even smaller than their height; Jackson 5'10", Heslip, Walton, Franklin all about 6'2" and I know that Missouri is not a big team but I like the match ups that Denmon and English could have on the perimeter. Baylor does not have the long perimeter defenders that K St had that gave Denmon and English so much trouble and and with Jackson and Heslip being undersized I think Baylor will have to go to some other defenders on them which is how Missouri should try and create offense. kenpom still has Missouri above Baylor as do I and I know that home court is the great equalizer but I see a very close game and actually think Missouri will win this game.

2H XAVIER -3.5 This is typically not a good strategy to chase a losing side at the half, but Dayton shoots lights out in the first half and I do believe Xavier will not go away and make a game of it. I they can get it under 9 by the end of the game its a win.

659 Ohio St -11 I think this is a dangerous spot for Nebraska to come out flat after a huge win. They were clearly not ready for the intensity of Ohio St the first time they played and even though they get them at home this time I still think Ohio St will pull away by more than enough at the end. Ohio St dominated down low in the first game and they won by 31 despite going 2-17 from 3. Ohio St a very complete offensive team as they really are able to go inside out and are not reliant on their outside shooters. I always wonder in these spots where you have an over matched team (Nebraska) playing at home coming off a "big" win how much of that is built into the line? Had Nebraska lost even a close game to Indiana I think this line is 13-14 points as you have more public backing now for Nebraska after that game. I think Ohio St has gotten their bad road loses out of their system now and as it is they did not play that bad at Illinois but just ran into a player having a just amazing shooting night. Nebraska in my opinion still struggled at times offensively against Indiana and they did put up 30 3 pointers (10-30). Statistically it is amazing they were even in that game, but I see them struggling against Ohio St and the double digit road favorite covering.

2609 2H NORTHEASTERN Over 62.5

629 COLORADO ST +5 (2 Unit play) 1629 1H Colorado st +2.5 Both of these teams flying under the radar a bit, but I am going to go with the more efficient offensive team getting 5 points. This experienced squad of Colorado St very road tested at this point and the environment in Laramie should be nothing new to them. Wyoming has a great home court advantage over opponents with the altitude; but this should have little effect on Colorado St as they play at altitude as well. St has played some tough teams at some tough environments and I like how they have played against these teams so far. They have a 56.2 effective FG% and even though they do not rely on the 3 they make about 44% of their attempts. Not completely sold on Wyoming yet as they have not really had a signature win and and have a SOS rating in the low 200s. Expecting Colorado St to come away with the win here.

2686 2H UTAH Under 63.5

653 ODU +8.5 2649 2H MISSISSIPPI ST PK Thinking Miss St will make a game of it and Vandy did get a little careless with the ball recently in second halves.