2012-12 College Basketball

[QUOTE=Redskins;50629]Blue- Do u still recommend playing some of these games at a half point worse. Can't get all of these lines. Thanks[/QUOTE] I think that has to be a decision you make as to how you want to allocate bankroll. Rarely are the plays I put up here influenced by a half or full point. I am putting up plays that I have as much stronger than the difference in a small change in line movement, so for me it is still a play. It looks like 770 is at -3, I think there is still a chance that you could find some -2.5 before game time as probably Memphis will be getting some money. I always look at the difference of going from the half to the full point (-2.5 to -3) as still a play anyway as it is just the difference of a win or push, not a push or loss. The Evansville play at -3.5 I would still play as I have Evansville as 4 to 4.5 point favorite in this spot. 759 at +8 so again really that is just a difference of a win or a push if it lands on 8, for me that is still a strong play. Obviously better to have the 8.5, but without even a full point off I would play it absolutely. All the other numbers seem to be still around at plenty of places.

2784 2H BOSTON COLLEGE Under 71

This is what I have today. 598 MONTANA ST -4 523 YOUNGSTOWN ST -2.5 583 SE MISSOURI ST +15 546 WASHINGTON ST -6.5 528 NORTH TEXAS +5.5 571 COLL CHARLESTON -4 537 UCLA Over 141

adding 2 first half plays 1522 1H VALPARAISO -1.5 1536 1H FLORIDA Under 62

833 RIDER +9 (2 unit play) 1833 1H RIDER +5 (2 unit play) This line was moving and I was waiting to get all I can as I am going pretty heavy on this play. I really, really like this spot for a Rider team that nobody expects much from now. This team is much better than their 9-14 record, they just got off to such a bad start and everyone has forgotten about them. There were high expectations for this Rider team early in the year with the arrival of the Virginia transfer Jones and the development of Novar Gadson, many "experts" thought that this would be the team that would be challenging Iona for the MAAC title. It has not worked out as this team really did not gel as expected and the coach juggled the lineups early in the year, but I believe they have been playing better and really began to find their identity when they played a brutal stretch of 8 of 9 games away from home between December and January. I like that the Rider coach has settled in on bringing Jeff Jones off the bench (he is probably their most talented player) and given him a clear identity. Now coming off a home stand and three game winning streak this team gets to challenge one of the top teams in the MAAC on ESPNU. Rider has actually played very well in conference and is #1 in conference in defensive rebounding which is a stat I like to look at; I think it shows effort and more importantly limiting second chances is always a good thing. Obviously I am anticipating a very strong effort from this Rider team and I do think they are very live to win this game as I do not think that the Greyhounds are the more talented team. Loyola has already shown vulnerability at home losing to a bad Niagara team, they might find themselves playing from behind very early in this one. Also worth noting that arguable the Greyhounds best player, D. Cormier is coming off an ankle injury and may not be completely healthy. He did not play in their last game and he is listed as ?; probably he plays in this game but possibly could not play as well and the team rely's on him heavily for a go to scorer. 827 COLUMBIA -4 I waited on this one and missed the -3, I am still playing it. Dartmouth very young and an offense that just does not score.

yikes, it appears I will be just off on the Rider pick. Probably one of the worst halves of basketball I have watched this year just played by Rider. At least I wont have to sweat this one out. Sorry for the horrendous pick.

Rider Rents players.

533 seton hall over 126 542 Florida st -5.5 543 wake+ 13.5 581 Texas am +11.5

2824 2H ST. PETER’S Under 66.5

1810 1H NEBRASKA Under 57