520 LOU 1h -135 greek, 1 weight

520 LOU 1h -135 greek, 1 weight Early start time for road weary Rebels.....gotta think Lou is the right side here early, ml too low here.

[QUOTE=Fezzik;34942]Early start time for road weary Rebels.....gotta think Lou is the right side here early, ml too low here.[/QUOTE] Can't argue with the early start logic. But..... it's been 7 days since UNLV played on the road. Don't quite understand how that makes them "road weary"?

Also keep in mind that Louey is a dumb team. Yes they beat Butler in their opener by 15 but they play with absolutely zero concept of time and score. They take bad shots and are loose with the ball. UNLV can match them athlete for athlete.

Also can't disagree with the start logic --but I'm on UNLV as a full-game play here. Played it already +4.5

[QUOTE=Kruger;34954]Can't argue with the early start logic. But..... it's been 7 days since UNLV played on the road. Don't quite understand how that makes them "road weary"?[/QUOTE] The rodeo is in town. They haven't played a true home game in weeks. Factor in a three hour time zone shift for college students and this game will feel VERY early for the Rebels. Fez is on the right track IMO with the angle. However, I am staying away simply because UNLV has been so strong in the first half of every game. Their pressure D is more than anybody has expected so far, but teams seem to adjust by the second half. I am more likely to look for a 2ndH fade opp from a tired team here if they do have a lead.

[QUOTE=maximillion;34963]The rodeo is in town. They haven't played a true home game in weeks. Factor in a three hour time zone shift for college students and this game will feel VERY early for the Rebels. Fez is on the right track IMO with the angle. However, I am staying away simply because UNLV has been so strong in the first half of every game. Their pressure D is more than anybody has expected so far, but teams seem to adjust by the second half. I am more likely to look for a 2ndH fade opp from a tired team here if they do have a lead.[/QUOTE] The analysis for the Rebels is dead on. I've found the same thing myself in my first half betting.

Great foresight. Good job [quote=maximillion;34963]the rodeo is in town. They haven't played a true home game in weeks. Factor in a three hour time zone shift for college students and this game will feel very early for the rebels. Fez is on the right track imo with the angle. However, i am staying away simply because unlv has been so strong in the first half of every game. Their pressure d is more than anybody has expected so far, but teams seem to adjust by the second half. I am more likely to look for a 2ndh fade opp from a tired team here if they do have a lead.[/quote] hope you cashed big