814 Kst/xmen UNDER 151.5 3 weight

814 Kst/xmen UNDER 151.5 3 weight GREAT BET. these teams hate each other. aok to play UNDER 151

I remember listening to a guest host on the Larry Grossman show a few years back who had very uncomplimentary things to say about touts that gave out NBA playoff totals at any old number, not caring if the line had already moved 2 points against them. I forget that hosts name, though.

Don't play under 150 Don't bet under 150 for any large bet. But that extra point at 151 really makes this a great play. When I posted slam dunk to get 151.5 in Vegas. 151.5 still out there and certainly 151. This total should be 148. Public money has caused a severe over reaction by the oddsmakers/early bettors to make this 153.5 yesterday at its peak. But NO WAY we can justify 150. Unlike the happy action fun games of Kst/Baylor in the big12 championship, THIS isa grind it out close game between 2 teams that don't like each other. My record here has suffered partly due to a reluctance to post things at other than the line zenith. While this makes sense betting the NFL, it does not make sense betting CBB totals that are often off by 5-6 points. My advice made sense to those touts who need to sell something to rip off their clients, and make money. I make my money betting, and I bet this one big at a price that is still available. As for those loser touts, they are betting $10 a game..... I personally made some very large bets today under 152 and 151.5, I'd be very surprised if they don't win. YES, I wish I had gotten under 153.5. But I also am very confident this under is the best bet on the board tonight.

I was able to get down at 151.5 at pinny and an offscreen quite easily at reduced juice FWIW

I got 151.5. Played for a little..

Ovr just got steamed. 152 out there now and at least one 152.5

Possible head fake, and or public, $$$$ should show under again More importantly, under is the clear right side. Bet a little more UN 152 and 152.5 if you can find it

[QUOTE=Fezzik;19742]When I posted slam dunk to get 151.5 in Vegas. 151.5 still out there and certainly 151. This total should be 148. Public money has caused a severe over reaction by the oddsmakers/early bettors to make this 153.5 yesterday at its peak.[/QUOTE] Actually it opened 154 on Sunday and stayed in the 153-154 range from Sunday until Wednesday afternoon. If 151.5 is a 3 weight and 150 is a pass, what was 153.5, a 6 weight? I have un153.5 +105 for a regular sized bet so I guess I should feel pretty stupid for severely underbetting that. [QUOTE]My record here has suffered partly due to a reluctance to post things at other than the line zenith. While this makes sense betting the NFL, it does not make sense betting CBB totals that are often off by 5-6 points. [/QUOTE] CBB totals late in the year are a whole different animal than earlier in the year. I don't disagree un151.5 has value and don't object to suggesting a bet on it, but I have a really hard time believing there are NCAA tournament totals so strong they justify 3 weight plays after losing 4%+ of line value. If the loser touts are just giving out something for the sake of selling something, why single out a practice that you have no problem personally doing yourself? (Taking a line that's lost 2 points of value?)

FWIW I like 1h un71.5 a little better than game un151.5 if those are the choices.

Valid criticism, and maybe I over weighted the play Rest assured, it is my biggest bet of the day, and I'm trying to make my large weights more mirrow my own bets. Embarrassing to not have larger correlations between my plays here and my own bets. I DO think this is a huge public square vs. sharp game.