Bright guys like the Heat turned up

Bright guys like the Heat turned up It wasn't that strong today and it got belted back but I think sharp bettors are making plays on the Heat over. I haven't seen them play yet this year but my understanding is Spoelstra changed the O of the team and before tonight (and probably after) they have average over 100 possessions per game. You know they will be pretty efficient. To the naked eye they're 2-2 to the Closing number to Over/Under....but the Bobcats game was a huge move over and the best example of how the smart guys made money there getting in at over 185 in the overnight and into the next day.....this game closed 195.5. The total fell at 191. It was clearly a smart play as I think even the Bobcats are trying to play faster so they blew apart this 185 number. This probably would have sailed over 195 although I don't know but the Heat can obviously play some D when they need to. But today's line got to 212 vs. Minnesota that sounded like an under I should have bet that. But Minnesota plays fast too but it was a close game. Anyway, it is something to watch. You start talking about LBJ, CB and DW with over 100 possessions these guys will score 120 on a few teams who won't be as up for the Heat during the year if this trend continues.

Last night vs. Charlotte the line opened at 195 moved up to 198 and a few donkeys bet it under and got beat badly as the Heat easily won this game and it went over. No doubt the Heat will put a hurt on teams. Lebron didn't even do anything yesterday. He got engaged the night before and the team was out on the South Beach strip probably at some club after a nice meal at Joe's Stone Crab. Tonight you have the Hawks for Miami at home and let's stop laughing at oddsmakers they put that total at 197.5 and there was some money over but now down to 193.5. They played 4 games last year no game totalled more than 191 and the total lines were all lower but not as much lower as I thought they would be. They had a few games where the total was 194 and went under. The Hawks are slower pokes that is for sure but they've played New Jersey twice and Washington. I'm not sure if they really are as slow as the data will suggest or if their D is as good as it is so far. Those teams obviously they have played don't score so well. The case for over is gosh we got to 194 last year in an Atlanta game vs. Miami and yes it went under though I do think you need to add maybe more than a few points to get to a fair line now I don't have a play here and it is one of those I see why they're betting under the total but again I'm not sure if the first move up isn't right. Not sure how the back to back will influence Miami here. None of them played more than 30 minutes of the Big 3. The Heat will be looking for 102 more possessions if they can get it and I think it is really tough to hold them under 100. If the game last year had a total of 194 this year it has to be 200 IMO and I'm looking at 193.5 bet all the way down from 198. They did go under these numbers last year so perhaps these teams match up for lower scoring games but this isn't last year.