Cizzle NCAA 2011 Tourney

Cizzle NCAA 2011 Tourney 709 PRIN +13 This is the first tournament game for a young UK team. UK fans are die hard and flying high after beating UF handedly to win the SEC. UK fans are going bet whatever number is hung here. The guys on the other side of the counter know this. This should also be the most liquid game of the day so far.

835 VILL -1.5 The initial line making GM a favorite was an over correction by the books to VILL's recent struggles. The books are now re-correcting.

[QUOTE=Cizzle;40798]835 VILL -1.5 The initial line making GM a favorite was an over correction by the books to VILL's recent struggles. The books are now re-correcting.[/QUOTE] OK, this is now moving to VILL -2. I would still play 835 VILL -2.

839 MARQ (E) The line movement toward MARQ is significant since there really are not any reasons for squares and square sharps to be betting into it. There might still be some +1's out there.

Was trying to figure out that line movement as well, since I had the X-men as one of my favorite plays of the 2nd round. It seemed to have moved very quickly. Gl tonight.

Round of 64: 2-1 +.9

513 WVA +4 Grab it now while you can. There is a better than 50% chance that this will close below 4. Similiar to why we faded UK in the Round of 64, UK is going to get the public money here, and the blind devotion money too, especially considering that this game tips around 9 a.m. Las Vegas time. The only squares betting this game at 9 a.m. on a Saturday in Las Vegas are going to be people wearing blue. The line is shaded towards UK for these reasons.

520 UCONN -3.5 Remember the run the Packers went on to win the Superbowl? UCONN is on a similiar run right now.

720 DUKE -12.5 Putting our ear to ground, we've heard that MICH is a very popular play today. However, the line movements appear to be relatively insignificant. This leads us to conclude that the books are content taking the MICH +12.5 money. If the books are happy taking a certain side, we're always comfortable going the other way. The fact that DUKE is playing well right now also makus us like DUKE -12.5.

724 OSU -11.5 We were in the wrong side on DUKE, based on a perceived over valuation of MICH's win and a lot of love for them at +12.5. With OSU, we think the number is short. GMU beat an inconsistent VILL team, and people are still remembering their Final Four run from years ago. Also, we just heard that GMU's best player is out for at least the first half.