Cizzle NCAA 2011 Tourney

728 ND -4.5 We know some Note Dame alums, and none of them pay attention to the ND basketball team. They were surprised to learn that ND was in line for a 1-2 seed before the Tournament started. What's the point? There appears to be a lot of action on ND despite the late east coast tipoff and apparent lack of alumni interest. We think FSU is a head fake by the books.

Rounds of 64 and 32: 4-4 -0.4

809 UCONN +2 We still don't think the public has caught on to how well UCONN is playing right now. The line was fair when it opened (PK). SD -2 seems like it has been pushed up by square sharp money, and/or by public money focusing too much on the seeds and season records.

812 DUKE -9.5 Arizona is a public doggy in this spot with it's upset over UT, and DUKE's only beating Michigan by 2. We always are wary of the public doggies.

877 MARQ +4 MARQ, to a much lesser extent than UCONN, is hot right now. Also, the fan money is going to come in on UNC. UNC does not have as many haters as DUKE, so the fan money is not likely to balance out. However, the line has moved towards MARQ. That suggests smarter money on MARQ. 882 KAN -10 The line just dropped the .5 point. It will jump back up. I don't think the line can be made high enough though for KAN. KAN might be the best team left in the tournament.

879 uk +5.5

Rounds of 64 through 16: 7 -6 -0 +0.4

513 BUTLER +4 I would not be surprised if this dropped to 3' in the next half hour. BUTLER is a tough as nails team, and they are on a run. We think BUTLER is actually going to win this game.

721 VCU +11 All the pressure is on KAN in this game. Also, we think it is significant that, despite KAN's recent blowouts, the line is only 11.

I don't follow. Historically, how often are games this late in the tournament lined at 11? The game is a pass for me, but I don't see how the line can be higher.