Dayton Flyers, the hard luck team of the year

Dayton Flyers, the hard luck team of the year 18-8 and heading for the NIT. No double digit losses. Since 1/1 they have managed to go 8-6 without one close win AND losses by 2,4,1,1,3, and 2 points. It's all over for the Flyers, a team that should have 20 wins.

[QUOTE=Fezzik;17481]18-8 and heading for the NIT. No double digit losses. Since 1/1 they have managed to go 8-6 without one close win AND losses by 2,4,1,1,3, and 2 points. It's all over for the Flyers, a team that should have 20 wins.[/QUOTE] that's ok. they can still get fat and happy on chicken and ribs at the ol hickory and hope for a miracle ncaa bid or some home games ghetto style.

Probably but they need to win out their last 4 games and go to the conference final game. That would give them 23/24 wins and a real shot at an enlarge bid.

@richmond, @Temple Forget about it..........NIT bound

Somebody has to win the A-10's automatic bid...why not Dayton? They certainly shouldnt be a prohibitive long shot to win the tourney in Atlantic City, where nobody has a huge homecourt edge. I wouldn't punch that NIT ticket just yet....

Joe Lunardi is absolutely AWFUL at projecting which teams are in and out, and what type of seeding those teams are likely to get. He does, however, have an excellent PR rep, and he works cheaply. Lunardi's documented track record is shockingly bad, even the week before the Field of 65 is announced, and his February forecasts are particularly useless. That being said, Lunardi's updated brackets as of today: [B]ON THE BUBBLE Last Four In[/B] UAB Rhode Island [B][I]Dayton [/I][/B] Saint Mary's [B]First Four Out[/B] San Diego State Mississippi State Cincinnati Connecticut [B]Next Four Out[/B] Ole Miss Memphis Arizona State Charlotte

Losing to St Joseph's isn't exactly "hard luck." I've done quite well on prop bets following Lunardi and the years I've checked I seem to recall he's usually not missed more than 1 team on his final projection. One year he had Washington as a 1 seed when they were 25/1 to bet a 1 seed on the betting exchanges about 2 hours before the field was announced. That's strong poker.

[QUOTE=Tcovers;17511]Joe Lunardi is absolutely AWFUL at projecting which teams are in and out, and what type of seeding those teams are likely to get. He does, however, have an excellent PR rep, and he works cheaply. Lunardi's documented track record is shockingly bad, even the week before the Field of 65 is announced, and his February forecasts are particularly useless. That being said, Lunardi's updated brackets as of today: [B]ON THE BUBBLE Last Four In[/B] UAB Rhode Island [B][I]Dayton [/I][/B] Saint Mary's [B]First Four Out[/B] San Diego State Mississippi State Cincinnati Connecticut [B]Next Four Out[/B] Ole Miss Memphis Arizona State Charlotte[/QUOTE] You beat me to it. I saw this too. Dayton has a strong chance. No excuse losing to the scrappy Dukes however. Must win those games. I recall Lunardi being very good with his forecasts. He has been pretty good right at the seeding time.

Lunardi It's six days before selection Sunday. Let's see how accurate Lunardi's latest forecast is, both in terms of seeding and in terms of at large predictive bids. I've broken down his latest 'Bracketology' report by seed. 1's: Kansas, Duke, Kentucky, Syracuse 2: Ohio St, Purdue, Kansas St, West Virginia 3: Michigan St, 'Nova, Pitt, New Mexico 4: Tennessee, Vandy, BYU, Wisconsin 5: Maryland, Gonzaga, Temple, Baylor 6: Butler, Xavier, A&M, Georgetown 7: Texas, Missouri, Richmond, Cal 8: Okie St, Louisville, UNLV, UTEP 9: Notre Dame, Florida St, Marquette, Northern Iowa 10: Wake, Clemson, Virginia Tech, Old Dominion 11: Florida, St Mary's, Cornell, Utah St 12: Georgia Tech, Memphis, Arizona St, Siena 13: Kent, San Diego St, Illinois, Murray St All 14-16 seeds are automatic qualifiers: Summit, MEAC, Sun Belt, Patriot, Atlantic Sun, Southern, Big South, SWAC, America East, Big West, Big Sky, Southland and Northeast (counting the play-in game, 13 teams) Kent (MAC) and Siena (MAAC) are also considered auto-qualifiers from a one bid league. I won't give Lunardi any grief if he gets them wrong. Here's his current bubble projections for the last few 'at large' bids: Last Four In Memphis Arizona State San Diego State Illinois First Four Out Washington Seton Hall Rhode Island Ole Miss Next Four Out Dayton UAB Mississippi State Minnesota

Good stuff Ted but still very early. Conf tourneys tell an awful lot. Wait to Friday, Sat and Sun and then look at Lunardis projections at that point.