Don't be counting on so many back door covers this year It is pretty clear that key players are being rested in the 4th quarter and there will probably be games mailed in at the half. This is the NBA that is probably not news. Many games mailed in before tip actually this will be more clear. One night this week the scores looked like an average margin of victory like 3 TD's.
Guys who who power ratings and models I think I would at least partially eliminate the factor for dogs to come back late. More sophisticated would be look at the schedule for off days, etc. of the teams involved to see what might be. I haven't looked at a box score since Grade 13 but I guess if you can figure out which coaches are employing this more than others you might have an edge in a few games.
.
