Fat and Happy

Fat and Happy Thought some of you who follow the "Fat and Happy" system might find this helpful... Top 25 2nd Half Fade System Week Ended 2/14/10 Baylor No Play Butler Youngstown St Thursday Potential Play on Clev. St Saturday BYU No Play Cornell Pennsylvania Friday Potential Play on Princeton Saturday Duke Potential Play on Maryland Saturday Georgetown No Play Georgia Tech No Play Gonzaga Potential Play on San Diego Saturday Kansas Iowa St. Saturday Kansas St. No Play Kentucky Alabama Tuesday Potential Play on Tennessee Saturday Michigan St. No Play New Mexico Potential Play on Utah Saturday Northern Iowa Drake Wednesday Potential Play on Bradley Saturday Ohio St. Indiana Wednesday Potential Play on Illinois Sunday Pittsburgh No Play Purdue Potential Play on Iowa Saturday Rhode Island Richmond Wednesday Syracuse Connecticut Wednesday Potential Play on Louisville Sunday Temple No Play Tennessee No Play Texas No Play Texas A&M Texas Tech Saturday UNLV Potential Play on San Diego St. Saturday Vanderbilt No Play Villanova No Play Wake Forest No Play West Virginia No Play Wisconsin Potential Play on Indiana Saturday * Using AP, UsaToday and RPI Rankings Polls

Isn't Ten and Pur a fade today in this system?

Not The Way I Play the "Fat and Happy" [QUOTE=sunnyisle69;16768]Isn't Ten and Pur a fade today in this system?[/QUOTE] Tennessee and Purdue are both playing another Top 25 team so they don't qualify as a play on the "Fat and Happy" system. Some folks play the Dog when two Top 25 teams play each other. I've found it's better to stick with only fading the Top 25 team in the 1st half when they're playing a non-Top 25 team.

That's why we're all here, to learn from one another. It was my belief one was supposed to take the lower ranked team. O.S. or Shooter, what is correct?

Fat and Happy [QUOTE=tvrw34243;16776]That's why we're all here, to learn from one another. It was my belief one was supposed to take the lower ranked team. O.S. or Shooter, what is correct?[/QUOTE] Here's what OS said in an earlier post... Fat and happy: fade top 25 teams (i use both USA and AP Polls) in the first half if they have won three or more straight. If two top 25 teams face each other and both are in top 25, bet the dog. I assumed OS meant to bet the Dog for the game rather than the 1st half but I might be wrong. Let's see what OS and Shooter says when they respond to your post. Thanks!

Here is the system per trotman: Fat & Happy is only the top 25 teams (trot uses only the AP rankings to determine this) that have won at least 3 consecutive games S/U. You fade them all the time in first halves anf full games regardless of the spread beginning in mid-January. The theory is that this upper class of teams gets overpriced, starts thinking too early about the tourneys, and has a target on their back against motivated underdogs who are capable of giving them a game for at least a half. First half bets have been better the last 2 years. Outsiders are teams who have won at least trhee in a row but AREN'T in the top 25. This caliber of team is less likely to get distracted, and more likely to stay motivated because they're not ranked yet. These teams have been showing good cover marks in the first half...but have been 50/50 in games after showing a promising start. You fade the fat and happys...you take the Outsiders

Is there a record of Fat and Happy during the past few years?

Thanks Bucky! [QUOTE=BuckyBadger;16789]Here is the system per trotman: Fat & Happy is only the top 25 teams (trot uses only the AP rankings to determine this) that have won at least 3 consecutive games S/U. You fade them all the time in first halves anf full games regardless of the spread beginning in mid-January. The theory is that this upper class of teams gets overpriced, starts thinking too early about the tourneys, and has a target on their back against motivated underdogs who are capable of giving them a game for at least a half. First half bets have been better the last 2 years. Outsiders are teams who have won at least trhee in a row but AREN'T in the top 25. This caliber of team is less likely to get distracted, and more likely to stay motivated because they're not ranked yet. These teams have been showing good cover marks in the first half...but have been 50/50 in games after showing a promising start. You fade the fat and happys...you take the Outsiders[/QUOTE] But I think the question of what to do in the Fat and Happy system when two Top 25 teams are playing each other is still unanswered. Do you know how to bet that situation? Thanks.

[QUOTE=MobileBandit;16794]But I think the question of what to do in the Fat and Happy system when two Top 25 teams are playing each other is still unanswered. Do you know how to bet that situation? Thanks.[/QUOTE] You play the underdog if both teams are on the win streaks.

Makes Sense! [QUOTE=Shooter;16796]You play the underdog if both teams are on the win streaks.[/QUOTE] Thanks, Shooter! I knew to play the Dog but I didn't pick up on the fact that BOTH teams had to be on the 3 game win streak. By the way, I assume the Dog bet you referred to is still just the 1st half? Thanks!