Fez - need u on record here

Fez - need u on record here You said you like Mia in 6 before the series. You said if they get by Bos, "who's gonna stop them?" You leaned Bulls but didn't feel confident laying 2 on them in game 1, but they blew out the Lebrons. Now you say you don't like Mia in any bets, but hedge that by saying Mia "may win it....maybe". So are you now suggesting the entire series is a tossup and u were wrong w/ Mia 4, Chi 2? Trying to find out what ur official take is since I can't get a read on what you are saying. On the whole ball of wax, before the playoffs you said your contenders to win it all were: Mia, Chi, SAS, OKC. You then said it would be a Dal/Mia finals w/ Dal winning it all. So Dal goes from not in contention to winning it all. It's been confusing at times so can u clear up your opinion so we can use it for betting purposes?

Clarification Dallas is something like 14-0 ATS. They MAY be the best team left, but the four are all very close Dallas 99.5 Mia 99.5 OKC 98.5 Chic 98 Given the power ratings are all so close, betting series doesn't make any sense (unless you just get a suspect number) since you will basically get 'stuck' with a team series bet when in certain games you like THE OTHER SIDE. Also, CLEARLY with only a 1.5 point difference Chic vs. Mia, Mia is in trouble....... Chic clearly should now be favored to win

Thanks. But you do like the Dal bet to win it all still?

[QUOTE=Fezzik;42926]Dallas is something like 14-0 ATS. They ARE the best team left, but the four are all very close Dallas 99.50 Mia 99 OKC 98.5 Chic 98 Given the power ratings are all so close, betting series doesn't make any sense (unless you just get a suspect number) since you will basically get 'stuck' with a team series bet when in certain games you like THE OTHER SIDE.[/QUOTE] Fezz, Curious as to what you feel the HFA is worth in Dallas?? You only have a one point power rating difference here but you have them as a pick at -5/5.5 in game 1?? Also, any idea how the Bulls can now be slight favorites to win the series yet the Heat are still the shortest odds to win it all?? I think Chic has a better chance vs Dallas than Miami as Dallas has NO answer for Rose.

I believe WAY more in power ratings, than matchups I think a lot of this 'they match up well!' is bullshit ESPN AFTER THE GAME. Back in the Winter, the entire world POUNDED the LAL vs. Mia since LAL's 'bigs' would be too much. Wrong. Teams make adjustments. In the NFL, teams with bad rush defenses don't get crushed necessarily vs. great rushing teams. If you know they are going to run, you can adjust. Having said all this, I DO believe in situational spots. OkCity just guaranteed they had a great year. Like Memphis, they can now lose and hold their head high. If Dallas loses, that 4 game sweep vs. the Lakers will be meangingless........it's ALLIN this year for Dallas. We always like rested home boys in Game 1s vs. 7 game winners, so we win with Dallas game I, then DUMP THEM and play the Route66s game II +6!

[QUOTE=Fezzik;42930]I think a lot of this 'they match up well!' is bullshit ESPN AFTER THE GAME. [/QUOTE] Understood on this but it is the only way I could figure that Bulls are -130 for the series yet are +200 to win it all while Heat are +180. I was assuming that the books thought the Heat would have a better chance vs the West. What am I missing or is this just noise and an odds anomaly?? Thanks.

Could be that they are trying to keep the books balanced to guarantee a win, and no one was betting on Chi to win it all during the regular season. If/when sportsbooks are legal online in this country someday, these types of opportunities will be extremely lucrative.

If and when is the key. Legalized online sports betting would mean tremendous opportunities for your better players. I don't want to think about just yet, as it still might be awhile.

Bulls are favored, Heat are the better team........ ----------------------

[QUOTE=Fezzik;42936]----------------------[/QUOTE] they have played each other four times this year. The Bulls are 4-0. unlike the ncaa tournement. there are many chances at redemption. we will see.