HoopsBurger Weekly Thread 01/24-01/30

[B]2H Fresno St./Nevada UNDER 73[/B] Should get the $
[B]5-9 Thursday 01/26 -4.9 Units 16-14 Week 01/24-01/30 +0.60 Units[/B] I would like to ask those of you who follow me to shoot me a PM and answer the following question/scenario: Ironically enough I put some thought earlier in the day into limiting my 2H totals to only OVERS that warranted plays based on my parameters. My thinking was that you cut out all the heartache of foulfests (21 points in final 52 seconds of Nevada game was just the worst of them all tonight...although Pepperdine was laughable fouling all the way down to the end down by 13-15 points the whole time) and the overtime screwjobs. It would also limit the exposure just by the mere # of plays that would be automatically nixed because of cutting out UNDERS alltogether. The negative would be that I would be cutting out a lot of +EV UNDER plays of course. Then again anytime we would have a play the only thing a foulfest or overtime could do is help us, it could never hurt us. After watching in disgust what all happened tonight with all these foulfests I am strongly leaning towards nixing all UNDERS and focusing simply on OVERS. This would not mean that I would be looking to play MORE plays to go OVER, just that the only plays I would make would be OVERS that fit my parameters already and I would simply ignore UNDER plays completely. I welcome and would appreciate all thoughts/opinions on the matter via PM as to not clutter this thread for the rest of the week. Good Luck
Pretty sure the second halves are lined higher to account for foul fests there Burg. But since your only losses are bad beats, I suppose it will help you sleep better.
Thanks to those that have PM'd so far... Lot's of interesting opinions... I still would like to hear from some more of you via PM to get even more thoughts/opinions, so if you haven't already done so...please take the time to think about my question to the masses and let me hear what's on your mind... As of now I will continue to keep UNDERS in the rotation... [B]2H Columbia/Harvard UNDER 74.5[/B] Should get the $

[B]2H Sienna/Loy Maryland OVER 73.5 [/B] Should get the $
[B]2H Niagara/Canisius OVER 69.5[/B] Should get the $
[B]Golden State Warriors-4 Char/GS OVER 53 1Q[/B] Both should get the $ Enjoy
[B]0-5 Friday 01/27 -5.5 Units 16-19 Week 01/24-01/30 -4.90 Units[/B]
[B]LA Clippers -5[/B] Ok boys and girls as you know it has been a rough couple of days. The late game meltdowns and foulfests have been agonizing. We must move on. I'm playing this Clippers game as a DOUBLE play. This lines up as an amazing situation for the Clippers. The Bobcats have won 3 in a row on this West Coast trip and now come in on a tail end of a b2b following an emotional and overtime thrilling miracle victory last night in Oakland. This will be the veteran laden Bobcats 4th game in 5 nights. Meanwhile the Clippers return home after losing 2 straight (including giving a game away in Dallas) to the friendly confines of the Staples Center where they have not been beaten since January 2nd. This will be the 3rd game without leading scorer Eric Gordon for the Clippers. Usually by game #3 a team starts to get some chemistry together from missing a star. Randy Foye, Al-Farouq Aminu, and Eric Bledsoe are all filling in nicely in his stead (scoring wise). I think the Bobcats get down early in this one, suffer from dead legs, and Blake Griffin should have his way with Kwame Brown/Nazr Muhammed/Boris Diaw. Clippers will also get a motivated and focused Baron Davis (always important) as he will be in tune because of close buddy Stephen Jackson on the opposing team. Look for the Bobcats to get down early and take the night off and start looking forward to which club they are going out to in LA later in the evening before having a day off and then off to Utah for a game with the Jazz. A 1H and 1Q play are both most likely coming when those lines appear tomorrow as well.
[B]2H Louisville/UCONN OVER 74.5 [/B] Should get the $