I am on Suns vs. Thunder Saturday night I picked up some stray +13 tonight on this game because I saw it at 12 and I didn't need any other reason but it feels like a good play. The line just popped out at me as high. I still feel it would be high at +12 and perhaps even +11. Am I nuts that +10 would be an okay bet?
I don't have my own power ratings so I'm at a disadvantage and I'm not sure what to use. I used the ESPN power ratings for end of season last year by Hollinger which I have no idea if they're any good but I like the fact that he ranks teams based on current performance, schedule strength,, etc. Bottom line is Phoenix is about 7 pts different on the ratings at end of season last year. They are a pretty similar team probably older and Oklahoma City may be better so I guess you could get to a line as high as 13. But I think that is the absolute max these teams could be apart on a power ratings basis IMO.
Oklahoma City has to be in a terrible situation of some sort in that they beat the team that knocked them out of the playoffs and won the title with a buzzer beater. Durant has been shooting the lights out. It is New Year's Eve and the Thunder are at home, they're younger it is party time after the game!! And it is the Suns coming to town and I don't they're putting on any lotion to protect themselves.
Westbrook who is my favourite player went for 0 for 13 and hasn't shot well in any game I don't think and there was at least an incident between Westbrook and Sefalosha and Durant regarding a not taken shot in a game. They might even trade this guy I hear now.
Phoenix will be back to back of course but maybe they're on the road they have a little momentum. They do seem to play some D. I don't like the rebounding but they block a few shots in the middle.....they have Nash. If you like this play I think they could keep this close. Heck I wouldn't be surprised if they won.