I Dumped my Dallas +280 LIKE A BAD HABIT

[QUOTE=Calsport;43792]Dallas -105 Miami -115 at the Greek[/QUOTE] -115 today vs. -200 yesterday. Not sure how "happy" fez is now with that bad number he has.

mia-200 was a good bet any bet that is scalpable should always be maxbet i did play dal 2nd half

[QUOTE=Fezzik;43800]any bet that is scalpable should always be maxbet i did play dal 2nd half[/QUOTE] I'm a lot greener than u, I'm just trying to figure out how you determine what is a "good bet". For me, I have 2 criteria: #1 is the bet wins #2 is it closes at a worse number than you got Barring negative variance and bad beats, which do happen. Maybe Heat -200 was lower than it should have been for a reason? To get Heat -200 money? I don't know, i do kno they do stuff like that to bring in money. Regardless win/lose, I don't see how laying -200 was a good bet if -115 is there today? I know they could have won last night, then it would have been a good bet but they didn't so in actuality its not a good bet. But you still think it is + your reasons is it is scalpable, but how so now that the line is so much better? Are you saying you put the same amount on Dallas 2nd half as you did on your Mia-200 buy back?

[QUOTE=Calsport;43716]Miami will be lucky if it goes 7 because Dallas is winning the next game. The pressure is on Miami. I'll take a little off my Dallas bet AFTER they win the next game. I'll be getting a much better price...[/QUOTE] Great call dude.

Nice - didn't see the Calsport post. I'm in the same position and wondering if I take off now or use some other options besides just a Miami series bet to hedge

pick up a piece of miami @ +105 thru a local for the series????

By the time my outs put up the series line it was Miami -235 and so I wasn't as tempted to hedge some of my Dallas money but they had Wade as MVP -180. After watching these games I thought it impossible for Miami to win and Wade to NOT be MVP. Seemed like a much better bet. Thoughts??

[QUOTE=IceTea;43799]-115 today vs. -200 yesterday. Not sure how "happy" fez is now with that bad number he has.[/QUOTE] Actually this proves Fezz had a good bet since the Heat are favored by so much and the game 6 moneyline is lined at -240. And game 7 should be a similar moneyline after accounting for how well home teams perform in game 7's. All Fezzik needed was a -200 moneyline (66% for heat to win each game) on these final last two games for the bet to make sense.

Thanks, Dude, dude.

And my post wasn't to take away from Calsport's call on the Mavs last game as it was a real good one, and Fezz had the same lean I believe. It was just to back up Fezz in that if the Heat were lined that competitively in game 5 then the series -200 seemed short.