Mia's Win today greatest ATS upset win in the history of sports?

Mia's Win today greatest ATS upset win in the history of sports? Down 10, with 38 seconds to play, laying -3.25. Impossible situation. IMPOSSIBLE. In Winston's Book "Mathematics" he cited that the 2001 Duke Win over MD qualified as the longest shot ever to win, down 10 with 1minute to play, Duke won. Winston listed the odds of this as 1 in a billion. Time for him to update his math, since LaSalle won down 8 without the ball with 1 minute to play also today! But bottom line, no mistake, if you had Virginia today, THIS WAS the worst bad beat ever in the history of sports. With the clear exception being ALL who had Virginia Pk 2nd half, and even +1/2, effecitvely having +6, or +6.5...........UH OH>

Worst bad beat? Not even close. Cripes it went into Overtime! I've got at least 50 worse than this one. 1997 NHL All-Star Game, after two periods the East is up 10-6 over the West and I have Over 18, 18 was a high number, but there was a big push that year to score goals and make the All-Star game fun etc and Gretzky, Mario Lemieux and Messier all on the East side said we'll score 20....anyways, less than 2 mins into the 3rd period the West scores and for the remainder of the game, the last 18 minutes only one more goal is scored and I get a push in that All-Star game.......now THAT was a bad beat!

Let me add: 2001 NFL Playoffs Vikings at the Giants. I bet over 41.5. Score at the half 41 - 0. Final score 41 - 0. Whats the math on that? Not a bad beat thread, but this was one of my worst.

UNDER bettors knocked their heads through dry wall

this is gonna be a good thread...

Yawn, you guys are citing 1000 to 1 things THat Mia game was more like 1,000,000,000 to 1! ..........according to Winston. I think his math is off, but I'm aok with it being 100,000,000 to 1. The stuff you guys are citing are TRIVIAL.........by comparison. Someone is going to come in with the Rams loser +3.5 vs. the Bears, Rams up 14 with 2:00 to go...........I think this is the biggest bad beat in the NFL I remember. Not surprisingly, Dan Gordon was all over the Rams that day +5. LOL. The closer the clock is to :00, the MORE unlikely an unbelievable impossible event will occurs. Alf' All star game is trivial, what was that 3Q total? 7. Same as a 1-0 Dodger/Giant baseball final, no big deal.

brutal... head, meet sheetrock I can't remember the score etc. but I seem to remember Reggie Miller pulling off some major heroics...still remember him running bacwards to get to the three point line, as if he was in his freakin driveway. Epic comeback to be sure, but maybe not in terms of ATS. [QUOTE=sunnyisle69;40540]Let me add: 2001 NFL Playoffs Vikings at the Giants. I bet over 41.5. Score at the half 41 - 0. Final score 41 - 0. Whats the math on that? Not a bad beat thread, but this was one of my worst.[/QUOTE]

I'm with Fezzik (and the book is [I]Mathletics[/I] not "Mathematics). I think for there to be a bad beat, something way out of the ordinary must occur. Teams go scoreless for 15 minutes of hockey or a half of an NFL playoff game. Those aren't Black Swan events. If Miami had covered the 3.5 in regulation, it would almost certainly been the worst. But still making up this deficit with less than 40 seconds is an extreme outlier. The fact that it went into OT does dilute it a bit, but still an unbelievable situation (and I had no action on the game).

I didn't bet the game but I'd have to go w/ sunnyisle69. I bet over 41.5. Score at the half 41 - 0. Final score 41 - 0. A total of 41.5 means .69 points/minute avg. For 30 minutes to have 1.37 points/minute and 30 minutes to have 0 points/minute is pretty extreme. Especially because he only needed 1 point to win...

Ahhhh....not so fast my friend. The fact that the Miami game went into overtime, and then cover in OT negates the impossibility! That's like giving a batter 4 strikes, come on... Here's another one that has the trivial Miami game schellacked....last year in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, we had G Mac, Graeme McDowell -130 vs Henrik Stenson. Stenson shoots an opening 67 but follows up with a 78 and is on the cut line. G Mac going into his last hole on Friday is at -1, the cut line is at +2. G Mac hits a perfect drive, pulls his approach shot into a greenside bunker, takes 2 shots to get out of the bunker, skulls it across the green, chips on and then 3 putts for a SNOWMAN 8 and misses the cut by two shots! Now that was a bad beat...