We have different zig zags. The one I was using was just playing on whoever lost the last game. It's 2-6. Are you saying that I'm supposed to be going dogs in the first round and favorites in the 2nd? I haven't heard that one. Although, I gotta tell ya, I wish I had. I bet all the favorites in round 1 except Dallas. Round 1 got me 0-8. Zig zagged through the 2nd round. 2-6. The only thing I've hit on is tailing the system you put out, but I didn't start until last night. 3-0. Also, I researched the last few years, and there wasn't a huge advantage to betting overs or unders in round 1.
Half the time, I don't know why I believe any of the shit I read. I killed in the playoffs last year, but this year I studied more and looked at the numbers. And the numbers have given me a beat down. Common sense says the Lakers are down,the Spurs are old and injured, and the Celtics aren't as good without Perkins. But the numbers said favorites in the first round and zig zag the 2nd. I think I'm like the guy who is somewhat knowledgeable trying to play poker. I know too much to take stupid chances and suck out and win big. But I know too little to make the right math play time after time and win big. So when it comes to math, I sit around knowing just enough to keep losing.
It's been a tough year. Last year, I was up 77 units on the year. This year, I'm down 50. I blame most of that loss on tailing "experts" and trying to do math. I should just stick to watching games and picking underdogs.
