[QUOTE=Fezzik;41940]Actually we likely should be betting 3 times as much if we got the 12....
Assume 11.5 is a 53.2% play
Assume +12 is a 55% play
So 11.5 would be .8% above 52.4% breakeven, +12, 2.6% above it.
And if 11.5 is only a 52.4% play, well, it should be an infinitely bigger bet +12![/QUOTE]
Thanks for the response, this sort of discussion is what these boards are intended for...to help us become stronger bettors.
Next question: On 4-17-(sunday) when you recommended OKC UNDER 204.5 as a 2weight, and then the total went to 206.
[B]Q?[/B] is how big of a weight does it become for each 0.5 point increment there? Thanks again for your time.