NBA System Totals 11/22-28

NBA System Totals 11/22-28 Just one play for Monday.... [U][B]#710 Magic/Spurs Under 196 NBA Overs 2-1 NBA Unders 4-3[/B][/U]

No Plays for Tuesday... [B][U]NBA Overs 2-1 NBA Unders 4-4[/U][/B]

Before moving forward with this thread I want to make a couple of things clear. This System is not designed to do anything else other than to grab a small edge and that edge is not going to produce huge results. I guess that depends on your definition of Huge Results though. I have done this same thing now for just over 3.5 years and it has given me a win percentage of right at 53.70%. It has been pretty consistant along the way. It will give us in excess of 300 to 350 plays from now until the end of regular season. I suggest playing them all for the same amount and getting the best line you can. I will always post the line at the time of post and that time will vary on my schedule. I will try to give line movement advice when I think I know where it is going.

At only $100 per game, that's still almost $1,000 profit over 350 games. I'll take it! Thanks BP for all your contributions to our Board!

Two for Wednesday.. [B][U]#714 Spurs/Wolves Under 213.5 #718 Warriors/Rockets Under 215.5[/U][/B]

[QUOTE=MobileBandit;33398]At only $100 per game, that's still almost $1,000 profit over 350 games. I'll take it! Thanks BP for all your contributions to our Board![/QUOTE] What I'd like to see is a discussion about the risks and bankroll management necessary to be safe. To me this seem like a very slim margin. What are the expect swings? This board is just about the picks but to help people learn the hows and whys of sports betting. Good luck on the season

[QUOTE=truushot;33447]What I'd like to see is a discussion about the risks and bankroll management necessary to be safe. To me this seem like a very slim margin. What are the expect swings? This board is just about the picks but to help people learn the hows and whys of sports betting. Good luck on the season[/QUOTE] Perhaps somebody has some ideas on this. I am lost with that kind of thing. I personally play 2% per play on these and NHL Totals, as compared to 2.5% to 3.5% on Football Plays.

If bets are truly 53.5% I would play 1-1.5% of my bankroll on them at -110. If they are -105, I'd probably play 2%. The problem is it is very hard to determine what to play since we dont have long historical records. Nothing against Bigpappa here - I enjoy his picks and play them, but I play for about 0.5% since we only have 3-12 months of results. On a record like RAS I think you can safely play 5% per play, though good luck getting that in with any sizeable bankroll. On Alf record I feel similar though I play about 2.5% for conservatism.

Serious question but how does one determine the size of a bankroll. I understand if you are a professional and have a set amount but what if you are at a credit shop and also have a monthly income?? Is it the amount that you could lose in a month, a year??

My bankroll is assets dedicated to gambling. In theory it's what if you lost, you would never gamble again. In reality, mine if probably set at a level that if I lost it all, I probably would not gamble for 3-5 years. I would not be happy. If gambling is your only income, if you bankroll goes away, you find a job. If you have a job, you can add to your bankroll. I tend to do that. I take a small portion (say 10-20%) of investable income and add it each year. If you don't set aside a certain amount of money to gambling, you have no idea how much to place on a wager.