NBA Totals for April 11th Big slate and I have most of them done but will only post 2 games now because of time. My number is the first number and the 2nd number is an average of the big books.
501 177.5 178
503 191.5 192
Both early games the teams have played to under's this year. They've dropped the line on Raptors though. In the Cleveland game they are also down a bit from other games but no Iriving of course. It was 194 but the sharps got to that no plays for me.
505 177.5 180
No Ray Allen just announced for Boston. I liked it a touch under before that but I do like it a little more now. Bradley has pretty good numbers defensively but his play coincides with the Celtics good run. Is he a main reason or along for the ride? I don't know. I lowered the total by 1.5 pts
with this announcement. But I didn't get 181 and not sure I would be able to get even 180.5. If you can maybe not a bad bet under.
507 200.5 201.5
I could be a touch lower here but the fact is the teams have averaged 100 possessions for each game so far this year. They did play one under I recall but the shooting was terrible from 3 and from 2 pts territory but I still think the game had 100 possessions. I think that was with Woodson as the
coach. Ellis I read a quote said the Bucks want to prevent the Knicks from setting in their D. I want to go under and maybe I would a good number
but I think another 100 possessions each and it will be a sweat. But lots of reasons to still like under including the Knicks D recently and even the Bucks only one game over 100 allowed in the last 7 I think I read. It is a playoff style game and a premium perhaps to have fewer turnovers and maybe not get to 100 again.
509 196.5 198
They've played a few unders this year. I think these teams play to a way slower pace when seeing each other than I would expect based on aggregates. If it replays like that this game will very likely be an under without very high scoring efficiency. If the pace has been an outlier I think they have the right number although they are a little higher than previous games. The Rockets D has been very strong recently. I really don't want over here but the under is also not flashing as good as I thought it might.
511 195 197
Eric Gordon questionable last I saw. I think he'd be worth a 1.5 or more points if playing. It is down from 198 maybe assuming he won't play not sure how much more it would go down if confirmed he was out. It seems almost logical to assume he's always out but I figure it will drop a little if confirmed. And will rise back up if he plays might get to 198
513 195 195
515 196 197
I was hoping for better here but I don't think I have a play. Both games have gone over this year. The Thunder D has really picked up and the earlier games were slower than I figured they could be. Nice recipe for an under but just was hoping for closer to 200 as the total. I think I have to leave it.
517 198 201
A few 202's left in Nevada on this one. I did bet this under at 202.5 saw it leaking and I had done my work earlier. I probably would swipe at 202 if I missed and I think 201 under is decent bet but we're down to handicapping to win at that point. The Spurs under has punched me a few times right in the face and the Lakers D sub par recently. No Kobe here though and I think 1st meeting of the year. The Spurs have played a few unders (Celtics come to mind last week) there is some hope.
519 210 213
There is till some under 214 in Nevada. Big contrarian situation for the Twolves and probably the under. They've just been horrible. I read a comment from Webster and he claims D is a 48 minute exercise. Of course he's the worst guy on the team with the most points allowed per possession. In hockey I say put a pilon out there and you'd get better D than what Webster must give.
