NBA Totals for April 2nd What under's do I have for tonight to sweat out? Got that 2-1 on Saturday as the Nets/Kings stayed under 210.5 by half a
point. Got a fight pizza promotions, lost seasons, etc. My number is the first number and the 2nd number is an average of the big books.
601 201 205
The Bucks unders are starting to cash with the help from the bettors and oddsmakers. They stayed under with the Griz despite a big 2nd qtr although the 1st qtr was really low. The Wizards games have gone much lower recently. Raptors fans couldn't even get a pizza slice from them. I also think they may have the longest streak in several years holding opponents under
100.
They played a game that went way over in the past few weeks. I don't think they'll get 100 possessions each team so a big determinant will have to be someone playing some D. The Wizards have shown they can recently. I also see Trevor
Booker is questionable. Can't say I really know him but I think he has the highest points per possession when on the floor
for the Wizards. I didn't make any adjustments because he's not out but the unit of Nene, Booker, Wall, Crawford and Singleton is actually outscoring opponents 12 pts per 100 possessions and really the only Wizards unit permitting less than 1 pt per possession. (might be a few others with minimal minutes.)
I got to think under on this one. I actually think the trend is your friend here as well.
603 188 186.5
605 197 197
3 games all over so far this year but I think by less than 10 pts combined and the totals around these numbers but I think a little lower.
One item I did notice is that they don't play that fast these teams so they've scored on each other more than one might expect based on their aggregates. I would think a similar paced game to the others might lead to an under in this game. The opener was 198 and it has been bet down a little. Tough to go much lower and want to start a play for me so I won't.
607 187.5 189.5
609 212 217
I think a courtesy under bet for me here but not a big one. They did play to 214 here recently and the game was an over. We add 5 more pts to the total. I figured over 100 possessions for each team to get to my number. In the 3 games it looks like they average 97 or so. I estimated that perhaps the game that went to 214 had 105 possessions for each team so that would be trouble again here to keep an under.
The other 2 games were way under so if they have 97 they must have been games in the mid 90's for possessions.
I don't think I can realistically hope for them to have much under 100 possessions here and if I get 105 not sure I can hold 214 again but I'll try. The opener was 215.
611 197.5 199
