NBA Totals for April 3rd

NBA Totals for April 3rd A big slate and some injuries to consider. My number is the first number and the big offshore books approx average is the 2nd number. 652 200.5 202 Irving probably I see for this game. 654 192 192.5 The window is short opportunity more often than not. The Knicks offered some pretty good value right away on the coaching change but a couple of really low total finals and they have them in line now---or at least i think so. 656 188 188.5 Raptors go for their 1st win against Charlotte this year and probably a pretty decent shot at a win and pizza tonight. 658 180 183 Got to admit I like this game under. No Ryan Anderson for the Magic. The Magic do appear to have some decent scoring units that don't include him on the floor but they definitely have several when he's on the floor. The magic 17 more points per 100 possessions with him on the floor according to the stats I see. There is just no other player maybe in the league? that I've noted with that type of difference. Stuckey out for Detroit and he's also their top gun offensively and no player seems to impact their scoring more than him. The teams played an under earlier this year with a paltry number of possessions in the 80's somewhere I recall. They are slow pace teams to begin with it might not be an outlier. It is not really agreed with so far..oops I checked again and it is under 183-113 at Pinnacle. I think I will try to get the best I can under. I would do 183.5 right now if I could get it. 660 186.5 184.5 Actually flashing an over? Not enough to make a play for me but they have played over this total this year a few times and had that one low game I recall. 662 196.5 196 The game opened higher at 198 I see probably the right call under the higher number but nothing for me here. 664 208.5 213 I'll be forced to go under on the Suns/Kings here. The Kings are the later season Bucks. They're the Knicks. They're opportunity. I think I looked at their last 20 games and they went over 15 of them according to the Greek database. I won the under on them by a half against the Nets on Saturday but got beat last night on them going under pretty soundly. No Marcus Thornton tonight. That is a plus for an under and there has been a move under based on it but 214 is still around in a few places and I think they could be undervaluing his offensive contributions. The Suns have played the Kings to a few unders this year already but this is a new Kings the past few weeks. At some point the Kings got to play under. I like Thornton out. I hope they're tired and perhaps they can still be above the possessions they've played earlier in the year but not get to 100. And if they do hoping for some Phoenix D is a game they really need to keep their playoff hopes going. 666 191 195.5 Looks like an under but not as confident here. The recent trends are up for the Lakers. Bynum doubful. I'm interested in the under if they give me another push up and perhaps I can get 197 or if the sharp books flag a slightly higher number as good. One item worth noting is that the Nets unders have been okay with me recently I think. They now have Wallace and he's always given Kobe problems while with Charlotte. This reasoning makes me think it might be a good play but I'll let the market tell me what to do but I won't bet an over even if that is flagged as good. Good luck.

I did note that Suns game had I think well over 50 possessions for each team in the 1st half surprised came out of that at 110. The Kings must not have shot well at all. A win is a win but alot of sweat for it. I didn't play the Nets under for the game but got on it for 2nd half for an easy win. I think the Nets under is one to watch because their aggregate stats aren't any good but they obviously are playing better defensively as a team and the addition of Wallace just has to help. It has been an overlooked acquisition I think since the Nets aren't a playoff team right now. But we're used to the oddsmaker closing the window fast just like with the Knicks so we'll see if this remains a good play in future games. The Magic under really never came close so nothing to sweat there---pretty much a loser from the tip. I got it at 183 and it was a good number since when Howard went out the line dropped to 181 or so. However, I don't think the sharp money gets that right. I think in all honesty I wouldn't have liked my bet under as much if I had known Howard would be out. The Nuggets really poured it on in the paint against the Magic the other day and I saw Detroit scored more than 50 in the paint tonight. Not sure why the sharp forces wanted more under with Howard out it is pretty clear from his stats already that the Magic yield more points per possession when he's off the floor. Of course they score more when he's on the floor but he actually impacts a game more defensively. You got many opponents calling him the best D player in the league for a reason. I would have needed more help from the sharps to change my bet and just didn't get it. Can't blame them I made the bet and they agreed.

Thanks for your posts. Hit the suns under