NBA Totals for April 7th Got beat badly on that Hornets game last night vs. the Spurs. I actually think I saw the Spurs were shooting 75% at HT in that game and the scoring was spread out. Taken on a few beatings on the Spurs under's now. The other games fortunately
the market never leaned either way otherwise a few more losses.
My number is the first number and the 2nd number is an average of the big books offshore. I'll try to finish the rest
before the games start but have to head out.
501 189.5 187.5
No play for me but these teams tend to play over. 3 over's this year so far. Mullens has helped out Charlotte scoring wise but
Augustin not healthy. Maybe these teams are due for an under at this point. There games aren't that fast I think Atlanta
has just scored more than one might model for their games.
503 185 186
The game has come down a touch. It is a little high---even my number I think is high. They've played to 2 out of 3 under's so far this year. The Pacers game totals have picked up so the game opened at 187 I'm thinking. Maybe some sharp money
under but it is fairly muted.
505 176 179.5
We have to watch this one. Will Dr. Bob be back on the Magic Under for a best bet? Ryan Anderson, Quentin Richardson and Hedo Turkoglu all out. We've talked about Anderson's value to the Magic offensively. Turkoglu also has an impact on their scoring. Richardson has poor individual numbers where he's on the floor but I didn't look into his rotations.
These teams played a game that went under 150 earlier this year and likely will play fewer than 90 possessions each. Philly isn't scoring or defending as well as even a few weeks ago. They did play an over but as it is Anderson had a big game in the game that went over and he won't be here.
This total is really not much different than the other ones for these games which were 180 and 178.
Got to think under is the % play with the Magic missing 2 shooters. If Howard doesn't go tonight I would assume this game will be a forfeit.
509 185 183.5
First off RealWorldSports has an excellent review of this game total with a play on the under. I can easily figure out why my total is higher and that is I expect 92 possessions for these teams but you know what? They never get there and now
they've played 2 times and the average is around 90 possessions scoring 180 and 181 pts.
I think if you examine the stats one might expect more possessions from each team but with Kidd out and I guess it is West playing more I think he might measure up to be a little bit better defensively.
RWS has some great points regarding the situation but I do think we're in the range of a fair line So far the play is not embraced by the market. Good luck if you're on it.
