NBA Totals for Feb. 15th

NBA Totals for Feb. 15th A big slate tonight so spending some extra time reviewing it. The moves have been pretty good in the market I'm finding before the games so I'm finding it has been good to go in when I like a total the same way and it agrees with the market. At the same time of course when my lean is wrong I'm liking that I get a crossing guard warning me about my opinion. 501 178.5 178.5 503 182 186.5 I played the Spurs game under. Not sure I understand why this total is so high. My only guess is that the Raptors games have been a little higher scoring recently and San Antonio overall has been pretty high scoring for the year. This has to be the upper range of any fair total though. The Raptors cashed under yesterday and well flagged before the game. The Spurs don't play at a fast pace and neither does Toronto so if Toronto can defend a little bit I think the bias is under this number. I played under 187 which is still around at many spots. SA has been high scoring for the year but recently has trended lower playing better D. If Jerryd Bayless plays I do think the game would be above my number of 182 as a fair total but I still think there are a few points of value on under. 505 187 187 507 190 -194 194.5 This game opened around 192 and has moved up to 194 but I have not bet it yet. No Anderson Varajeo for Cleveland or Granger for Indiana. If one looks at the individual stats of AV the Cavs his stats don't impress when he's on the floor defensively at all although I think analysts like him as a defensive player. I'm going to say the stats are a product too much of who he plays with then and say it will hurt the Cavs defensively tonight without him. Granger is also better defensively I think when he's on the floor at least according to stats. I think one more push up on this total might get me interested in the under but I just don't know fro m here. The Pacers D has also been very weak recently in aggregate so another reason the total is a little higher than mine but perhaps rightly so. Note: DJ Augustin is probable to play. I would add a few points to the total for his inclusion in the lineup tonight. I think the betting is anticipating his starting. With Maggette back in action they should have some more firepower. Augustin's pace I think was higher than Walker and the other guards. Bottom line no under play for me here. Over is probably the right bet but the value has drained out of that. 509 178 182 I have not bet it yet but I do like the Pistons/Celtics game under. It opened around my number and has climbed 4 pts. I actually feel I've been generous to get to my number but Detroit has been better recently but not sure how much higher this could really go as a total and have it make much sense. It has the potential for a low paced game. They only had 80 possessions each their last game which seems incredibly low although they got to a total of 181 as the Celtics scored at a high efficiency. Given that this game could go much higher than that as 80 possessions is a snail's pace. I got to expect at least 85 in this game. I suppose if Detroit doesn't stop them again at all it will go over but if they play to their D aggregates this year it is a high number and I think I've factored in Detroit's terrible D. 511 199 200 When the Knicks game opened I almost bet it under figuring when I did the work 198.5 had to be a good number under. But I was wrong. The betting is over that and is now over 200 and I think the market might be right. It could be a fast paced game tonight. I think another push up I might like it under if I get anything better than the market. 517 192 193 Hopefully I'll find time to do some more. Good luck.