NBA Totals for Feb 20th Here is what I got for tonight.
503 190.5 195.5
The Knicks are 13-7 I think to the under last 20 games---or maybe that was home games only--I can't remember my query now. Mostly in doing this I'm finding their games are consistently with too high a total on the line. I know for a fact I followed the Nets/Knicks game over a few weeks ago with the market which liked the game over and lost. Here I am again lower by almost 5 points. The Knicks do play a fast pace and yet are solid defensively and aren't that proficient. I haven't bet it yet but I think under 196 might be good and if I see under 197 I'll bet that even it it doesn't look good.
I skipped the Celtics game for now.
507 187 187
I got them on this game the other night but they had 192 for that game I think. They've already adjusted 5 pts here. I tend to like the Bucks games over but no Drew Gooden means more minutes I think for Leuer Sanders and Illyasova I think that is a better D from what I see in stats. I have to say I'm in line here. The game did open 188.
509 186.5 187.5
It come down from 189. Maybe I would have bet that. Under 188 for me I think might have value but that is it on my scoresheet.
511 192 187
I'm surprised I'm so high on a Grizzlies game. It is not one I want to bet but I might try an over here at 186-115 which is around at one book. They've played twice with the more recent game going under scoring 176 between them. Their first game went over 200 points. Their first game in December was lined at 196.5 I see and the 2nd game at 186.5.
The teams don't play at as fast a pace as I project I don't think so I feel I am high. At the same time I don't think there is much room here to go much lower and be confident that is the right play to bet it under.
513 189 191.5
Probably will leave alone at least from my own opinion.
515 204 209.5
I think Denver is just through the roof at home and I should probably add more.I probably would still say the market number is too high. However, these are the 2 fastest paced teams in the league could be an easy over as well.
A bargain on the under for me. I'm sure 210 will pop up. Just has the look of a game to bet over in and then do the best you can to get under in Nevada although the line hasn't varied much from 209. Maybe they'll bet it over and 212 will come up somewhere. I won't play this under based on my model
517 199 204
I like this one a little under on the Suns but the move has been up. I think 204 will be the peak of it and I think I'll give it a shot to go lower. Wizards have picked up their scoring and the Suns made some shots yesterday that is for sure. Don't love it under---sounds like an over but the Suns have had enough games where they don't score as much and the Wizards struggle to score enough I think we're in the high range for the total.
519 184.5 181
I like the Lakers over here with Portland. I actually I went over 180 that was there briefly so I'm hoping that stands up as a good number.
521 196.5 197.5
Probably leave the Warriors alone tonight.
