NBA Totals for Feb. 4 Bulls/Bucks
515 189 186.5
Due to a busy schedule I am working on my totals right now. I looked into the Bulls/Milwaukee game because that interested me the most.
The opening line on that game was around a total of 191 and has been driven as low as 186.5 at several betting spots.
I came up with a number of 189 on it right in the middle of the move. Dr. Bob sports has twice in a row made an opinion out of the Bucks
games over the total winning with Miami and losing with Detroit last night. Those who read over here know I have liked the Bucks over a
few times as well and last Saturday Fez hit a winner with the Bucks over the Lakers. The premise is perhaps mostly due to the loss of Andrew Bogut for the Bucks who I would estimate might effect a total on a Bucks games by a range of 3 to possibly even 6 pts is my estimate in a game.
The teams played and went way over the total a few weeks back but it was due to high efficiency scoring as the actual pace of the game was about what a modeler might expect. I bet over the total at 186.5 hoping this is the bottom of the range of expected scoring for this game for a small bet. but ideally I wish I had the middle on this game.
Rockets/Twolves
513 201 204.5
My friends the Rockets and Twolves I'm 0 for 2 on these teams and betting under. However, pretty decent success betting Houston under in other games.
The Twolves have been harmful going over many times recently although their 1st quarter's have been nice to go under. A quick guess of the reason
and I would have to defer to people who watch their games is the emergence of Pekovic who is doing so well that he must be seeing more and more minutes since I see he scored 27 last night. Milicic starts and the games are cooler to start but they heat up and I've been beaten on the full game unders more than I have cashed 1st quarter under.
These teams have played a faster pace against each other than I would expect as well although not by a whole lot. I feel I have been pretty generous to get to 201 since I've incorporated that data but if I used the pace of the other games they've played I'd be pretty much on the number. The game has gone up from 203 to 204.5. I think under 206 would be a bet from me and personally I'm debating trying under 204.5. 1st quarter? Of course LOL if Darko in the starting lineup. under 205 a small bet for me.
523 200 199
525 202 200
