NBA Totals for Jan 18th

NBA Totals for Jan 18th Another big card in the NBA tomorrow so I decided to prepare my NBA totals again and examine vs. the early lines. These totals tend to get action early in the morning of the day of the game. The first number is my total and the 2nd number is a Pinnacle/Greek/Cris number. 701 197 200.5 703 195 198.5 705 194 196.5 707 194 196 709 194-197 No Line (Curry?) 711 177- No Line (Bargnani?) 713 181 186.5 715 177 177.5 717 183 184.5 719 191 187 721 183-186 No Line.(Paul?) I noticed 701 703 705 and 713 and 719 were worth looking at for me. (1) The Nuggets/76ers under looks to have value but I wonder how good the 76ers D can continue to be. I figure if they've overachieved I would probably obtain 199 or so on a 2nd trial so I'm passing. (2) Once again I'm short on a Wizards total. The Washington O is just horrible but if Wall has another good game and they've underachieved this could easily be a point or two higher so I'll pass making my own bet. (3) I'll watch the Spurs game tomorrow maybe at some point I'd enter on the under. Their games are hot they obviously don't play any D. Orlando isn't that fast but a very efficient O. It is one to watch for me. (4) I did bet that Minnesota game under the other night as it got as high as 199 at one of my books and Pinnacle was 198. I wish I knew the reason for the steam move over on that game vs. Sacramento. Tonight going against Detroit I still think these totals are high for them with Rubio starting. Note Detroit started Ben Wallace tonight and he's expected back in there again tomorrow. We know he doesn't score and he blocks a few shots. The Pistons are incredibly slow to begin with but they aren't good defensively. That is why Wallace is in there again. I don't know where Detroit gets any scoring. I will say they're due for a good game for what that is worth but I'll go on this Minnesota under angle for a small bet. (5) I didn't bet this one but Indiana over 187 looked okay to me. Granger hasn't shot well all year so I think their stats will get better and no doubt my number is too high. No bet but it is one to watch for me.

Morning Exam Let's look now. 701 has crept up to 204 This is 7 pts from my line but as I said I'd add a few points because the Sixers performance might be too far above expectations. Denver does like to push it. However, it is now a candidate for me to go Under that is for sure if at any time I see a good number vs. the major books. I'll have to wait to that as some of those books are telling you to play over on the game probably what you should do but I won't. These are the types of moves you get in NBA totals. 703 dropped to 197 so a little closer to my line. And I think I'm low so not a game I have big interest in. 705 dropped to my number. I don't regret not betting it I would have wanted a little higher as the market is exactly 194 707 Phoenix is the most interesting. Notice an 8 pt move to the over. Wow. It won't show up in the aggregate stats and has to be a play based on the atrocious game the Suns played last night and being on the road again. The Knicks haven't been very good offensively so some big bettors like this game to far exceed aggregate expectations. The flip side is that the Suns will try to get back to at least a little what they were doing before last night. Gentry commented on it so I put in a small bet at under 204 and hope that this doesn't steam to 207 because it is clearly too high in terms of a fair line for the moment in my opinion. Note: Big move to the under on this game as I type. If you're in Nevada you can get this maybe probably not. 709 Opened 195 which is in the range I think is correct. 711 In the range I figured to open around 177. 713 Detroit 185.5 nice to see after I bet un 187. My number still says it is an under from here but I'll allow that Detroit might not be this bad but not sure where or how they'll get a big scoring game but it could happen. I'll keep a small bet and that is it. 715 Anybody who comes up with anything other than 177 please announce yourself! 717 Ditto at 184.5 but I'm sure there is a "sharp" angle to this game but I don't know what it is. 719 Now this one is 192 so this has moved 5 pts up and I was 4 pts higher so this was a good game for my model and the market. Except the model will always say 187. I adjusted up for some expectation that Indy's O is a little better than what they've shown. I actually bet Ov 187 after my post but only because someone else wass betting it over so I feel inclined that if I get another point I'm going under. Maybe Sac isn't as bad on D as their numbers but they probably are. 721 Basically in line with what I felt they would have assuming no Chris Paul.