NBA Totals for March 23rd Big schedule. I will add in hopefully the two late games later today well before tip. My number is the first number and the 2nd number is a current average of the big offshore books.
852 191 194.5
These teams are just a dead IMO this year. But they've come down alot since earlier this week when I think I was under 199.5 or something like that. The Raptors D has started to become leaky as the season progresses and Bargnani isn't scoring. Could get a day where he scores and the D is still leakly. These teams could play much lower than this number though I see a move on under 194.5 that could put me on under 195 if I can get it. But I'm not initiating a bet at the market number here.
854 199 202.5
I'm close to wanting under here too. They're adjusting for the Bucks now of course can only imagine value on under now. Still it is not like there is a big difference. These are some pretty heady totals for Charlotte games but it is the Bucks. Maybe they'll push it some more where I would initiate. If it goes under from here I might stick a little on it under.
856 190 190.5
Number did open 192.5.
858 194.5 196
I was generous in my methods to get to a number this high in my methods I felt. The Suns have given up a lot of points onthe road and the Pacers can put the clamps down on you. And you can see yesterday they fade offensively too but then shutdown the Wizards to get back in the game.
I find the game line interesting where this opened as high as 5.5 and has been punched down to 3.5. Seems very low for this game. Pacers on a back to back but clearly a better team and at home. You see this alot IMO with Pacers. I think the mvoe occurred during the 1st half of the game last night and the Pacers came back and won that. Don't really understand it but that is just an aside.
860 192 192
862 186 188
These two teams have outscored their totals this scoring 200+ twice. Two very slow paced teams and this total is way up in class form their other games which have not had a lined total higher than 179.5. They have been as low as 176.5 in their first matchup which came to 176 and stayed under. Not sure what the dynamic is here.
864 177 177.5
Knocked down from 179.5 opener.
866 207.5 210.5
I'm close to an under here. I'm not a huge amount less. We'll see how it goes. I wonder if the market would push this one up even more or whether they already perceive value on under the sharp bettors at this number.
868 198 200.5
No Tony Parker I note. Strangely, his defensive stats seem more valuable looking at him indvidually on a pts per possession basis. So that means I assume the game will be higher scoring? Not sure I believe. Also not sure I believe that without Parker the Spurs really will score as much. One has to watch the perverse conclusions. Ginoboli said he will be missed alot. I'll take his word for it and assume somehow the Spurs can't be as effective offensively or defensively without him. Makes me like the under from just a pure feel perspective and my numbers like it a little low. But this is the Spurs been on the wrong side of a few of their overs.
854
