NBA Totals for March 24th Missed a game that started already but I have done the rest. My number is the first number and an approx average of the big books is the 2nd number.
503 191 191
505 192 193.5
I have noted the bettors and oddsmakers have tightened it up on the Knicks and I'm not flashing unders anymore.
507 193.5 193.5
This game is an opinion of Dr. Bob sports to the over and in his analysis his model has a projection of 197 pts. This game got as high as 195 and has come down from that peak. There has been a uptick in the scoring of Bobcats games as over the last 5 they have averaged a total of 200 in their games which far exceeds their season average of 188. However, I know that in several of those games they've allowed 50% shooting or more which is high. Given the pace of the Nets I would have to continue to get to these numbers.
Their games this year have been consistently lined around this number and 2 have gone under but they did catch that game I think with Williams scoring 57? that went over and got to 205. I wish I had more time I'd look into the pace of the games individually but have to move on. I wouldn't say I disagree or agree with the Dr. here.
509 196 195.5
511 190 191.5
I've been aggressive to get as high as I did but both teams scoring in their games has increased recently. Parker is questionable I see and Landry back for NO is the expectation that I read. I do think the pace of this will be slow so to get to these numbers will require some efficiency at a good clip.
The game is a huge upgrade in number as other games between them have been 180 and 177.5. At the beginning of the year it was 185 or so. They don't have average even 90 possessions per game when playing against each other. They did score over 200 in the one game lined at 177 so I have to presume the Spurs as usual---scored like crazy---and even the Hornets.
No doubt it a high total for this game. If they push it anymore and anything flags the slightest good under I will bet that.
513 182.5 183.5
Surprised I get even this high. Another of these games just seems like a dead under for the Raptors. When playing the Bulls the possessions for each team hasn't hit 90 yet and I think have played to an under both times. I won't bet this under unless I get a good bet on it. No Bayless and no DeRozan for Toronto. Bargnani could shoot the lights out but he hasn't yet. No Rose for Chicago. Raptors put the clamps down on the Knicks yesterday for an easy under there.
515 202 205
This has moved up from the opener which was 201.5. It is the Bucks what else would you do? I'm a few points lower here but not enough with these teams to want to go under unless something is good. In fact if the sharps hadn't got a hold of it I probably would say bet 202 over. Indiana can be funny though. They can play D and they can miss alot of shots leading to some pretty easy unders. Other times they play fast. Someone with a feel might know what to do here.
517 207.5 210.5
These Kings games are scoring 220 pts a game the past 5 and with the Warriors there is a perception that it has to be a shootout so the number opened around my number and has gone up. This one might be worth watching for a bargain on the under. They've scored over 200 twice together this year but one time was just over 200. They also played a game well under 200. The total line has been near 200 even lower in other games so we get the full credit for the Kings recent play I think in the number here. No play yet for me under but I'll be watching for something to flash good and if they push it higher like they did with the Jazz/Kings earlier this week I will bet under at Pinnacle or one of the sharp books.
Good luck.