NBA Totals for March 2nd Time for some fun with NBA totals again. The first number is my number and the second number an approximate average of the big books. I have comments below a game of interest at least in my review. Still a few more games for me to go with a big slate.
801 184 183
803 182 186
This game definitely interests me. I haven't bet it under yet but the opener was 187 and got bet under but the money is showing over. Fez referred to a strategy of reviewing a reduced juice book like Pinnacle for information and right now it is strongly bet over 185.5 a that book.
The factors that stick out for me here is that I'm not sure what factors have this number so high. Usually I can at least find the idea behind a number different than mine right down to let's say a team scored a bunch of points its last game.
These teams are slow paced with a very low 80 possessions in their last game in stats I saw. Now NJ played without Williams in that game but overall they're still a slow paced team. With Lopez back I think they improve defensively and Garnett I understand will be guarding Lopez so that might slow him down a bit.
However, no bet for me yet. I throw the idea out on the under. Let me see if someone else initiates it and I'll try to jump on it.
805 186.5 186.5
I'm playing the middle here. I actually got a 184.5 with 115 juice and I got 187 on the under. Barely profitable but that is my range. The Hawks will be without Johnson and perhaps Smith as well. Mbah a Moute maybe out. Another reason I just went for the middle once I had a first bet. Really not sure what to expect here. Under 187 flags as decent bet right now. But it is a Bucks game. How can you bet that under?
807 187 189
Maybe I'll go under on this if something flags as good. I could do 190 I think at Bodog but maybe it is increased juice. I'll just leave it for now. Irving is questionable I do think that if he is listed out I would expect a move down on the total.
809 180 176.5
A possibility of no Dirk tonight. I have definitely had success in getting a few of these low total games at the bottom and going over. I76 to go over does interest me but has to be done at the sharp books. No bet yet but I guess that is my lean.
811 202 203.5
I already bet this game under 205 so I'm happy with that position. I got burned by a few Houston over's when I started doing this but I've had my retribution as the Rockets go low more often than not recently. I got Houston scoring over 100 so I think I'm in line with what Denver allows on the road.
However, it does qualify as a game that could become rocket speed--if you know what I mean.. I think I have to be prepared for
100 possessions here and if Martin or any other streaky shooter makes a few...well you could get hurt on the under.
That is why if I see something good on the over I will take it. Would love to see that number at 202 but even 202.5 I might go over.
813 188.5 189
Curry questionable. It is Wilt night. Do they score 100 in his honour and play free? Or a real tribute to him and not score at all?
