NBA Totals for March 5th Big slate for NBA total action. So far a pretty flat day not a lot of movement. My number is the first number and the 2nd number is the big books.
501 195 194
Been bet down a bit.
503 182 185.5
I will take a swipe at this under. Orlando has been playing well and when last playing Toronto the total went to 198. But there are are other times the Magic aren't on and we know their games don't add to much but that is a few weeks ago now. Toronto has been a decent play on the under but their games have also picked up. However, if we can get a little defense I do think that 186 is high for a fair total if you can get that number. Raptors playing back to back but both at home.
505 201 203
507 194 197
I will let the market be my final decision maker here. I like it under that higher total. But I can't get 198. If they flag 197.5 under any more as a good bet I'll try to get that and if it really flags I'll go under 197 if I miss and that is still decent.
509 189.5 190
Starting to see some money over. FWIW I'm in line but I wouldn't be surprised to see this go under. The Bucks D is just out of control got to feel some attention has to be made to it. Jennings has had a few good games in a row so he's due for a 2 for 20. Williams missed alot of shots yesterday. These teams could grind and the stats say this number is okay at least with me so my feel is under. Let's see if they push it up and then a really good number to go under or whether the market senses a "grind" game too.----or nothing.
511 187 189.5
These Bulls games are hot in the 1st quarter it seems. I haven't looked at the data but they seem to get it going early. One might anticipate a slow 4th quarter with these teams if game reasonably close. I'm biased under here too.
513 196 .5 196
515 206 210.5
I'm lower but more variance here although the pace of the games they've played is actually slower than I would expect. These teams can go for over 100 possessions I think. Sacramento's D has been torched by Denver yet we know Denver is missing some guys. I don't want to initiate an under here that is for sure especially since money still seems to be coming over.
517 186.5 187.5
