NBA Totals for March 6 Adding in the remaining games. A short schedule but I might make a few more bets. My number is the first number and the 2nd number is an average of some of the big internet books.
551 181.5 184
Considering going under here if I get any flag on it at 184. Otherwise it is not enough of a difference to initiate the play although close.
553 185 187.5
I bet under 188.5 here and now here in Reno the Atlantis has 189. I'll try to get that bet and play over best I can do to reduce my risk. I hit the Magic under yesterday so will roll with them again to go a little lower.
555 186 188
557 194 197
I was very generous I felt to even get to 194 for this total so I'm compelled to throw a bet down on the under. I think they played to 191 in their matchup this year but Wade I don't think played. NJ coming off the Willams 57 pt. game but also no Lopez again. Their D is really horrible NJ and I do think the Heat's fair expectation is over 100 pts. But I think 197 is high. I will bet one of the few under 198's out there and monitor it. Maybe reduce my bet if disagreed with but otherwise hope it drives down a point or so to 196.5.
559 182 186.5
I feel I have to try to get an under 187 on this game based on what my numbers say but other than that I'm not as certain in the play. The Pistons games have picked up so I may not have a grip on them the way I should. I won't play it too big here.
561 193 191.5 now 192.5
Game has moved to 192.5 I guess I still have to stick with my original bet. I would like 195 to go under have to assume won't get it. But if 193.5 shows and flagged as okay bet I will play back some under although it doesn't look great to me.
I bet this game over 189.5. I cheated I saw the money moving it up and quickly worked on this game. I'm still flagging to go over with my model but we'll see. I think it is too late at least by my model to go over comfortably but that is my definition of comfort but I wouldn't go under 191.5. We'll see how much it can drive. I guess I really wouldn't even be looking at an under unless I saw 195.
