NCAA BK Picks

NCAA BK Picks Just trying to contribute. Thanks to all for the picks; I am going to start posting some of my plays for the remainder of the NCAA BK season. My posts up to this point have been few and not really any good to put it bluntly. I do feel this one is a good one to start on though as I have been pretty in tune with WCC, WAC and PAC 10 BBall this year. I know that Hawaii has been far better at home this year and the trip for Portland is probably the toughest for them of the year but I do maintain that they have the better talent and Hawaii can struggle to score inside. Hopefully this wont start out badly but if it does I will still post and some of you may just want to fade me the rest of the way. 585 Portland +2
639 Long Beach ST +8.5 I got this at 9.5 but still think there is value at 8.5, looks like it could head down some more. Hopefully LB will be able to come back after a disappointing loss to UCSB in the Big West tourney final; a team they dominated during the year. Both LB and WSU surely feel like they should be a tournament team. LB has a little more balance and have played some tough road games this year so they should be ready for the trip. They play an aggressive team defense that could prove feast or famine against K.Thompson. He could get hot and WSU might win by 20+, but conversely if he struggles WSU becomes very mediocre. With WSU being up and down all year I like the points, I will also have a small play on the ML at +350.
666 San Francisco -4 This should come down to SF having the better talent combined with playing at home where they have come up with some big wins. Mikey Williams one of the best players in the WCC that nobody talks about and SF a true team that has shown signs of improvement as the year progressed with really only one bad loss since Jan. 1 (on the road against a Pepperdine team that got hot in the 2nd half and turned the game into a track meet). Played Zags tough in the WCC tournament and possibly could have had a chance to win if not for a time out call with none remaining. SF has two guys that can score inside and plays good enough defense. I fell that the talent in the WCC is superior to the WAC this year. Both these teams relatively young so I feel the home court will play more of an advantage. AS long as SF keeps the TO to a minimum Idaho will have to have some unexpected contributions to make this one close.
629 Nebraska +5 Nebraska can be offensively challenged; especially on the road but they will have the best player on the floor in Lance Jeter. After a tough ending against OK ST, Jeter and the team will look to redeem the season against a Wichita St team that may not be as motivated and also has not played since Mar. 5. Wichita gets scoring all over the floor but they do rely on the 3 a bit much. Definitely concerned about Nebaska being a poor road team and if they get down DD early it may be tough for Nebraska to hang on as Nebraska sometimes get sloppy when they are down big. Nebraska has shown signs of improvement and should be excited to play in this game and get that last loss behind them. Nebraska has managed to be competitive in many games in the second half of the year and really only struggled against teams that just overpowered them athletically, don't see that happening here and hopefully they can hang tough through the scoring runs of Wichita ST and keep this close with a chance to win at the end.

627 Texas Southern +19 Was hesitant to post this one just because I knew I missed the good number, but there is a reason it moved so much so quickly. Still feel confident that this Texas Southern team will compete against a Colorado team that probably wont put the best effort out their since they have been crying about not being in the tourney. Texas Southen's non conference schedule will have prepared them for this game and the combo of Travele Jones and Kevin Galloway will keep the Tigers in this game.
664 smu -4 One could say that these two teams are heading in opposite directions with a disappointing end to the season for SMU and Oral Roberts making a surprising run to the Summit Champ game. But this perception gives all the value on SMU; the team that has the better players and a coach that should have the players focused to play even though a CIT end to the year was not what they were hoping for. Laying 4 with the home court advantage against an Oral Roberts team that is the definition of overachievers; don't see this one as much of a contest. Good luck to all.
654 UofOregon -10.5 Don't like to make a habit of DD favorites but too many factors pointing to a big win for Oregon. Weber St will play right into what Oregon will want to do with up tempo play and shooting the three. Oregon will not have any match up problems with their small lineup against Weber St and should be able to force TO and get out and run. Weber St will not be able to guard Catron effectively and Oregon should be excited to play another game and try and finish the season with a winning record. Also the M.Kight arena has not been a favorable shooting environment for visiting teams and if the three is not falling for Weber St, they have little shot to keep it close. Weber st looked like a team ready to end the season playing at Saint Mary's after a crushing loss in the conf tourney to Montana where they were outscored 45-18 in the second half. Not seeing them come with much effort here against Oregon.
707 Clemson +2.5 This is a bad spot for Clemson right? Surprised that this line has not moved more with WV being the more rested team with having to play the first four winner Clemson. Clemson 3 games since 3/11, WV has not played since 3/9. Got to believe everyone is on WV, I am taking Clemson +2.5 here. Clemson has the players to beat this team and this one should go down to the wire. Lets get a good start today. 3-3 Yesterday 3/16 0-1 3/15 3-4 Overall (-140)
721 2Old Dominion -0.5 Old Dominion looks like the better team to me.
734 Temple -2.5 I like the way Penn St has been playing but I look for a renewed focus here for Temple and they should pull away late as the more efficient offensive team.