My 2 cents worth Ive been following this thread with some interest. One of the reasons I enjoy this board is the give and take that exists between the handicappers. Also you probably wont find two better handicappers then the two that run this board.
Winning the Hilton contest 2 years in a row! Assuming each game is a coin flip what would the odds be of 1 person beating out over 300 handicappers 2 years in a row. Much too high to think it was an accident. There is no question Fez is one of the top nfl handicappers around.
Saying that I believe some have an unrealistic expectation of what to expect following handicappers plays. No matter who the handicapper is there are going to be losing seasons and gut wrenching downswings. After all what type of edge do you think a top handicapper has after the Vig.
There is no way to avoid variance. Its up to each person betting to attempt to figure out a way to incorporate other handicappers opinions into there own analysis. Also in addition to have the right money management for your own personal bankroll and risk.
If you lose there is only 1 person responsible....and its the person making the bets..period!
Fezzik's record speaks for itself. Its amazing. Can he do it in every sport...maybe maybe not...but at least you know you have a top analytical thinker coming up with these plays.
RickJ