Phoenix/Tulsa WNBA Game tonight First off, these following paragraphs will be the extent of my knowledge on the WNBA. I've have not seen a game this year and perhaps have never seen a full game in its history.
Here are some things I'll take as facts:
I saw a news item that Nolan Richardson resigned as coach of Tulsa.
Then this morning I got tweeted that from RAS that they are on the under for tonight's game.
I know they're sharp so I read a little more into the game and Friday night's game. I saw that Tulsa lost by only 8 to Phoenix on Friday and they played like a different team than the 1-9 team that they were going into this game. They held Phoenix to 10 pts in the 4th quarter. I take it Phoenix scores a lot and I'll assume that that is how the totals can be 180.
The beat writer for Tulsa commented that Tulsa has the worst perimeter team in the WNBA and would be inferior at the NCAA level and that is factored into their lack of success.
Fez said way back on a Tulsa play he had or a total that they played their hearts out. This is back in game 3 or 4. I don't remember. But I take this is a bad team that works hard and does take this seriously. FWIW the writeups said Richardson worked very hard and that wasn't the issue.
Tulsa started 2 new players on Friday but has one key rookie injured. One of those two may have been an injured player coming back. She didn't play many minutes.
Tulsa has lost 5 of their games I think by 20 or more.
What I'm doing this with information
-I bet the under because RAS said so. I didn't bet any extra but I have to think a little bit that they think there will be a slight strategy change from Tulsa with a new coach that may lead to fewer points for their opposition. Seems reasonable.
-I see a coaching change, a 1-10 team that tries, it is a back to back game they already lost the first game.
In any other sport these are already 3 areas that are positives regarding situation for Tulsa. Heck, the coaching change angle has made me bet that in hockey especially if the line appears fair. I have no idea what a fair line in this game but I do see +14.5.
I gotta figure Tulsa must think this is a very important game to their new coach, their fans, etc. It sounds like this whole franchise is a mess in a league with probably severe financial issues.
I don't know anything about Phoenix's philosophy and no time to even guess I would hope they don't want to embarrass these guys.
These types of games have larger than normal emotional responses. There is probably a greater chance Phoenix kills them but there is a probably a greater chance than normal that Tulsa will win this game outright as unlikely as that seems.
Based on all that I bet Tulsa +14.5 at reduced juice FWIW.