Prof Meyer's NBA Side Play 11/6 All trends and system quoted here can be verified on-line with the Sports Data Query Language. [B]SACRAMENTO -5 over Memphis[/B] -- The Grizzlies went “all-in” vs the Suns and came up short. Despite playing double-overtime, their bench was used very sparingly. OJ Mayo and Rudy Gay logged 51+ minutes, Marc Gasol was on the floor for 47+ minutes and Zach Randolph played for 41+ minutes in his first game back from injury. This does not bode well for their chances here. Memphis is 0-9 ATS (-8.1 ppg) in franchise history after a loss on the road in which Marc Gasol played more than 40 minutes, 0-7 ATS (-7.4 ppg) in franchise history after a loss on the road in which Zach Randolph played more than 40 minutes and 0-7 ATS since the start of the 2009-10 season after a loss on the road in which Oj Mayo played more than 40 minutes. Memphis was up by 18 points early in the contest and were up 98-94 with under four seconds to go in regulation. They blew it and they have not responded well to losses like this one. The Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS (-8.2 ppg) as a dog off a road loss in which they led by 10+ points, 0-6 ATS (-6.6 ppg) off a road loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter and 0-6 ATS (-7.5 ppg) off an overtime game on the road. Memphis is playing their fourth road game in five days and their opponents in the first three were the Lakers, Warriors and Suns. They should not have much left in the tank here. The Kings are off a home loss to the Lakers in which the normally accurate Omri Casspi was 1-of-5 from the floor for three points. Sacramento even shot poorly from the free throw line, making only 14-of-23. Historically, they have responded well in this spot. Sacramento is 10-0 ATS (+10.2 ppg) after a loss in which Omri Casspi shot worse than 33% from the field. Also qualifying here is the fact that Sacramento is 6-0 ATS (+8.8 ppg) after a loss at home in which Jason Thompson had more rebounds than points and 5-0 ATS (+9.3 ppg) in franchise history with rest after a loss in which Tyreke Evans had more turnovers than assists. As a team Sacramento is 15-0 ATS as a home favorite after a double-digit loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line, covering by an average of 13.8 ppg. Finally, we have a league-wide, multi-season system that is worth mentioning. NBA teams are a combined 7-0 ATS (+13.4 ppg) as a home favorite with two or more days of rest after a double digit loss as a dog when they get a team that is off an overtime game. MTi’s FORECAST: SACRAMENTO 116 Memphis 96 Comments welcome. Prof Meyer