Professor Meyer's 2010-11 NBA Futures

[QUOTE=costar;30878] No disrespect to Professor but he is a sports information service provider not really a stone cold bettor - he's not a pro punter so not really a sharp[/QUOTE] Actually, I do consider myself a bettor. I paid my way through college and graduate school by playing high stakes bridge and poker and by squeezing money from the show pools at Maywood Park, Sportsman's Park and Hawthorne Park. I have been kicked out the the Monte Carlo in Vegas by winning too much money playing blackjack. (they were very polite, saying, "I'm sorry sir, we have to ask you not to play blackjack anymore at our casino, you are welcome to play craps, the slot machines, etc -- just no blackjack.") I started sports betting in the late eighties and early nineties. I feasted on even-money, six-point two-team teasers. I wrote a six-part series on beating NFL teasers for the Card Player magazine back in 1991, when everyone considered teasers sucker bets. In 1999, the New Yorker Magazine mentioned our success in sports forecasting in an article titled, "Brainiacs Build Money Machine" (April/May issue). When a futures line moves against me, I take the opportunity to hit it again. The "sharps" don't impress me at all. Prof Meyer
Basic Strategy Futures: Look to 'get in early' on power moves, and don't fade them. I KNOW the Prof kicks butt at these, but as an example in the fall I implored him not to use Carolina OV 7 (it was free falling to 6.5). Now....not all big moves are the same. I faded the Bengals move from 8 to 8.5 but that was Ocho-Donco bettors pounding the T.O. move, THOSE bettors I don't fear. However..........NO ONE is betting these NBA season wins except pros. Vegas has given up, 2-3 shops put them up, the others, tired of dealing -115 lines and still getting crushed, have said 'no mas'. Dallas UNDER 49.5 and Orl OV 55.5 are both 60%ish plays. Guess what? When 4/5 of your plays plus are 60% plus plays you can donk off some profit with 1 bad play and still show a tremendous result. But..........the best aren't satisfied with very good, that won't to be great. And New Orleans 'over' is, at best, a coinflip. Their star doesn't want to be there, and the fan support isn't going to be there during a 'down' year. Notice how 'bad news' spreads slower in the futures markets than good news? You can still get Dallas 'under' 49.5 easily, but Orlando is up up and away...........a good example in football was how long it took Viking UND 9.5 to crash, same with NE un 10, SD un 11, Indy un11, but Atl and SF OVERS 8 and GB OVER 9.5 were a frieght train up up up with much faster moves. As someone who is going to make a nice living wage by betting futures alone, I think I'm more than qualified to consider myself an expert in this niche marketplace.
[QUOTE=Fezzik;30938]I KNOW the Prof kicks butt at these, but as an example in the fall I implored him not to use Carolina OV 7 (it was free falling to 6.5). [/QUOTE] Wait a minute... you don't think the Panthers are going to make it over seven wins this season.:) As always, thanks for the input Mr Fezzik. Prof Meyer
Professor - understood buddy -you have a nice CV - your futures stuff is very solid Fezz made nice point as well about good and bad news - difference in speed in movement of futures number - i've def noticed that over the years all in all futures are the best way to make money in this game - i love them