RAS 'teaching' the marketplace how to bet..........

RAS 'teaching' the marketplace how to bet.......... 3/15 and 3/16 RAS released seven totals, and went 4-3. They played seven 'overs'. Common sense explains why NIT round 1 'overs' are preferred over unders. Often, you have two bubble teams that have played 10 straight 'we need this game bad' games. This has depresses the scoring, and added to the defensive intensity. THEN finally put them in round 1 in the NIT, and the weight of the world is lifted, it is what it is. Not surprising, you often get a happy action fun game..........roll the ball out, and see what happens. There was a lot of 'over' money on this stuff, this year, it likely will continue next year.

stuff like this is worth the price of admission. Thanks Fez

[QUOTE=Fezzik;40721]3/15 and 3/16 RAS released seven totals, and went 4-3.[/QUOTE] So hitting 1 game over .500 is a great result? NIT first round games on 3/15 went 3-6 and on 3/16 went 6-1, for a total of 9-7. 3 of the wins were extremely close: Over 123.5 hit 125 Over 126 hit 133 Over 148 hit 151 Maybe I'm the minority but I'm not seeing a great trend. I looked at last year: 3-4 on Tuesday and 4-5 on Wednesday Thus, the last 2 years combined, Overs hit 16-16. No edge whatsoever. Theory sounds nice and all, but numbers don't bear it out

[QUOTE=IceTea;40750]So hitting 1 game over .500 is a great result? NIT first round games on 3/15 went 3-6 and on 3/16 went 6-1, for a total of 9-7. 3 of the wins were extremely close: Over 123.5 hit 125 Over 126 hit 133 Over 148 hit 151 Maybe I'm the minority but I'm not seeing a great trend. I looked at last year: 3-4 on Tuesday and 4-5 on Wednesday Thus, the last 2 years combined, Overs hit 16-16. No edge whatsoever. Theory sounds nice and all, but numbers don't bear it out[/QUOTE] Thanks IceTea, I like to have 2-3 yrs+ of data. Good stuff

NIT Research And who said Ice Tea didn't do research - - I think it was Ice Tea - - Thanks for the info - - -

[QUOTE=LARRYK;40761]And who said Ice Tea didn't do research - - I think it was Ice Tea - - Thanks for the info - - -[/QUOTE] Haha... I had a few mins to check on it... I'm not usually good at that unless I put my mind to it. Note that I only went 2 years, instead of a more thorough 5 or 6...

Adjusted It struck me that this year.... Early conference season unders Bracket Buster overs "March Mildness" overs ..were all anticipated by the linemaker. Though it's such a thinly traded marketplace that maybe it was those betting in the first 30 seconds that they were posted were the adjusters.

You are missing the point... [QUOTE=IceTea;40750]So hitting 1 game over .500 is a great result? NIT first round games on 3/15 went 3-6 and on 3/16 went 6-1, for a total of 9-7. 3 of the wins were extremely close: Over 123.5 hit 125 Over 126 hit 133 Over 148 hit 151 Maybe I'm the minority but I'm not seeing a great trend. I looked at last year: 3-4 on Tuesday and 4-5 on Wednesday Thus, the last 2 years combined, Overs hit 16-16. No edge whatsoever. Theory sounds nice and all, but numbers don't bear it out[/QUOTE] The market has already adjusted, hence a great strategy that used to win consistently is now flipping coins. In other words, the market has learned and this is reflected in opening or very early numbers.

[QUOTE=maximillion;40771]The market has already adjusted, hence a great strategy that used to win consistently is now flipping coins. In other words, the market has learned and this is reflected in opening or very early numbers.[/QUOTE] You're talking to Fez not me right?

His point about it becoming a coin-flipping situation is in response to your saying that the numbers don't support the theory. Like a lot of sports betting theories, betting overs in the NIT's first round no longer works.