Rickjs handicapping picks college hoops wk of 12/27

Rickjs handicapping picks college hoops wk of 12/27 A disappointing day Sunday. 2-3 in both nfl contest putting me out of contention for cashing in the Hilton. And needing 4-1 or maybe even 5-0 next week to cash in Leroys. Also the nfl plays went 1-3 or 2-3 for week 16. But the nba play won but not much of a bright spot after a disappointing nfl weekend. Arizona, washington and Cinci were all easy winners winning outright as 7 point dogs. Tennessee never was in the game. San fran and cleveland could of gone either way but neither covered. Today in the nba 1 total Sacramento under 194.5 (i do not bet these..for tracking purposes only) Nhl too early to tell....and nothing in football. In college hoops there is 1 play 730 Pitt -6.5 Tomorrow morning I have to leave the house at 6:30 am for the morning...so will put out any college hoops between 6 and 6:30 am. Nfl 2010 Picks 19-11 63.33% Hilton Contest 43-35-2 55.12% Leroys Contest 44-36 55.00% Ncaa FB 2010/2011 picks 18-15-1 54.54% ncaa bb 10*11 Totals: Sides -1 to +1 games 3-1 Dogs +7 or greater 16-6-2 Favorites up to -6.5 11-13-1 favorites -7 to 10 11-6 Fav 10-20 5-4 Fav over 20 0-1 Total sides: 46-31-3 59.74% NHL 2010-11 Picks 19-23 -1.90 Nba 2010-2011(for tracking purposes only...not betting this year) December Sides 6-5 Totals 6-3 November Sides 0-5 Totals 8-3 October Sides Totals 3-3 Total: Sides 6-10 totals 17-9 Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

Tues baskets Monday our ncaa hoop play won with Pitt finally pulling away again at the end. Our nhl play lost in a shootout 4-3. And our nba total lost. Today in college hoops: 526 Syracuse -12 536 Cal Irvine -10 Nothing yet in the nhl or nba. Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com Twitter: rickjsportplays

2 more 2 more college hoops: 561 Oakland -26 565 IPFW +9.5 RickJ

Wedn ncaa baskets Tues we went 2-2. Our only easy win was ipfw with them winning the game as a 9.5 point dog. Oakland covered but only by a point. It was right on the number with 4 seconds left but going to the line when up by 26 is a new one. They hit one and covered. The other two were not close at all. Today in college hoops 3 plays: 749 New Mexico -2 767 Miss st +15.5 808 Weber st even Nothing yet in the nba or nhl...i will update later if anything develops. I received a comment asking where I wager these since the vegas books either or not up or lines are not avail at these numbers. Really the only way to bet these are to get them text messaged to you on twitter. And then have your offshore books sites ready to place a bet right away. 8 am is my time for sending these out via twitter. Another thing...these lines have gotten much stronger. I would be very reluctant to chase the numbers and it might be a good idea to reduce your unit size on these for the rest of the season to lock in gains we have made to date. I really think the easy money is gone. Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com TWitteR: rickjsportplays

808 Weber st even RickJ, which is correct - 807 Weber St or 808 Montana St ???

weber st 807 weber st Sorry Rick

Rick, I'm not real well versed on nueral networks, do you know how well your model accounts for injuries? Another handicapper who plays a lot of injury angles is fading Weber State with (G) Lillard out. With your record the last 2 years, I gotta figure injuries are handled pretty well, but I wanted to ask.

injuries Injuries are handled a bit differently. They are not taken into account in the neural programs. But before I place a wager I take a look at any key injuries and then make a decision as to how to handle that. The first assumption I make is that the injury is already in the line. And more often then not the line is over adjusted. But usually i avoid key injuries if they are the first game out. (except in the nba where that is usually a high percentage play betting on the team that has the injury the first and second games following the injury) As to Lillard...he has been out now for over 10 days...so I do not rule out the game. Rick

Thanks Rick. That makes a lot of sense. On a related note, if a key player comes back who has been out for a large part of the season are you able to make adjustments on the year to date stats for each team?

key player back its very similar to a key player out. Again though a key player back would more then likely be already in the line...and again over adjusted. key players in and out ( with the exception of quarterbacks in football) are more then taken into account when the books put out the lines. My guess is if you only bet on teams with key injuries and against teams with key players back on the first and second game you would be money ahead. Even in football there are handicappers that feel the starting quarterback out is more then built into the line. Myself I need to see one decent game from an unproven backup before i consider the bet. There are no easy ways that i know of to account for injuries. Each handicapper usually has a different approach. Rick