[QUOTE=rickj;36044]2-3 in both nfl contest putting me out of contention for cashing in the Hilton. And needing 4-1 or maybe even 5-0 next week to cash in Leroys.
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Not quite out of contention yet in the Hilton. Note a grading error in the current Hilton website standings, MINN was incorrectly graded as a loss. I think the top 20 places plus ties cash. You have 44 pts, tied for 87th, there are only 7 entrants who you cannot beat or tie and 5 more that are almost sure to beat you. Because of the heavy distribution of guys just above you, if you have a 5-0 week, you would have somewhat less than a 1% chance of cashing (depends on others winning %, i.e. many "easy" or common games there are, you would need a lot of the 12 entrants with 47.5 and 48 points to have 1-4 or 0-5 weeks).
In the Leroy's contest, the Top 40 cash and you are tied for 54th, even a 3-2 record would give a small chance of cashing, a 4-1would give you a good chance to cash and 5-0 would almost be a lock to cash.