Sharp Bet Strategy Opinions

Sharp Bet Strategy Opinions I have an "exact series" bet that if the Mav's win the series Sunday (Only Sunday) that will pay $6500. I also have Dallas +6. I have seen way too many of my parlays blow up on their last leg. What is your opinion of the "sharp" way to play this with the Heat at -230? Thanks, Turkey

Letting it ride is the optimal way to play this I would think. I doubt if you can find a better money line than +6500 on this game right now. (lol) If you do, pm me. All other bets aside, to hedge this bet you either have to take the Heat on the money line at the best line you can find, or find a creative way to hedge it, which I don't have at the moment. Maybe someone else does. There's a lot of creative minds here.

Trying to imagine the scenario that'd make u go get more Dallas at plus 6...hmm

[QUOTE=hardrock;43901]Trying to imagine the scenario that'd make u go get more Dallas at plus 6...hmm[/QUOTE] Simple, I like the Mav's +6 side better even believing that the Heat could and probably should win outright. Do you disagree, are you liking the Heat -7? Who else is?

[QUOTE=climate;43900]Letting it ride is the optimal way to play this I would think. [/QUOTE] Exactly Climate, I do not see much since in even hedging my investment for only a $400 payoff. Anyone else with an idea we all can learn from ?

[QUOTE=TURKEY;43905]Exactly Climate, I do not see much since in even hedging my investment for only a $400 payoff. Anyone else with an idea we all can learn from ?[/QUOTE] For a 100 dollar bettor 400 dollars is four units. Would that change the equation? What about for a 50 dollar bettor? Not everyone is betting 1000 a game.

Probably simplest is the best in this case. Heat -230 takes care of it. I've seen things like Games won in series with Mia +1/+1.5 Asian -214 but that not nearly as good as just taking MLine.

[QUOTE=truushot;43906]For a 100 dollar bettor 400 dollars is four units. Would that change the equation? What about for a 50 dollar bettor? Not everyone is betting 1000 a game.[/QUOTE] 1 unit pays 6.5. To protect 1 unit you risk 2.3 or 1 will only protect .4. So do you lock in a .4 (net .6 loss) win to reduce your shot at the Mav's to 5.5? Or 2.35 to break even with a shot at 4.15 ? Who likes Dallas straight up today?...anyone?

Let's simplify things. You already bet Dallas for the game with your future pending. Now you are asking if you should also bet Miami for the game.

Sorry to not get back sooner. I guess if you have Dallas at 6.5 to 1 to win outright, going back for more at +6 seems odd to me, when your question is how to hedge Dallas winning outright. it just seems to complicate your situation, although Dallas +6 was the nutz. The only thing I can think of other than the obvious, laying 2to 1 on MIA ml, would be to tease them with something else you like a lot in the wnba, in the -4 to -5 range as well. It's an added risk but I'd rather have that than all that juice eating up your original, now known to be great, bet.