Thread on Props on The Big Three in Game II! NEED INPUT!

Thread on Props on The Big Three in Game II! NEED INPUT! Ok, Wade 7-17 18 points, we would normally look for his production to go WAY up off a big loss. BUt.........James 5-15 fg, 14 points. WE have to think HIS production shoots through the roof. The wild card is, I think, the much despised Bosh, somehow puts up 30 vs. the BUlls D, and yet Mia gets torched. I'm CERTAIN there is a good prop bet on 1, 2, or all 3 guys. My gut says Bosh's numbers go WAY down............but they have to for us to win prop bets under on him. What does everyone think?

Miami's offense is really basic in that all they really do is run isolation plays for James and Wade. Bosh gets some garbage and can also hit mid range jumpers and usually goes hot or cold. Their spot up three point shooters (Bibby/Miller/Chalmers) are for the most part old and/or ineffective. They don't have much beef at all in the front court. Chicago plays such great team defense that these isolation plays won't succeed like they did against a slower, less effective defense. The Bulls' defensive strength plays to Miami's offensive strength. In the playoffs the Heat increased their pick-and-roll plays from 11%-to-19%, but that was largely missing yesterday. They will have to figure a way to get that working to improve. All the talking heads were falling all over themselves about how great Miami was, but even against the Celtics playing without Rondo, the Heat won two games in the last minute. The Bulls are MUCH superior on defense. The Bulls won't always be as effective on offense as they were last night with their role players, but I think it is much easier to win championships and a series with ONE great player, TWO good players, and SEVEN role players that excel and complement each other. The Heat are trying to win with TWO great players, ONE good player, TWO role players, and FIVE guys that wouldn't have a shot at making the roster of the Bulls, Thunder or Mavericks.

I thought Steve Kerr had some interesting comments including that he was aware that the Vegas odds favoured Miami to win the series and pointed out that all of the analysts on his network I guess TNT picked the Bulls. I don't know who wins this series but I agree with Fez comments in another thread that there just can't be any value on Miami. The +170 I saw on Chicago to win had to be the play if you're betting it before Game 1. Regarding Bosh, he also commented somewhere along the line of sportsmemo here that he felt that Bosh and Boozer were going to get a lot of open looks in this series based on the defences. Only bone I'll pick with Sportsmemo and not a big one is that Bosh is a good player. He's far better than just good IMO. For me the Heat haven't figured out how to make Bosh a key player and you wonder if it is not best they just make him the key player. Not saying he's as good as LeBron or DWade but he's taller and can play with hs back to the basket and get easier baskets than these guys get in a half court offence. It is hard to get maximum output of these 3 guys without everyone adjusting their roles. I think Bosh did it for the year but he's been noticed more the past few games at least by me. I would be inclined to say Bosh still goes over his season average for points. If anything the Heat might need to go to him more. If he's getting the easy buckets and making his shots the Bulls will adjust. Bosh can beat a team himself. It hasn't been shown at all by Miami but he's an extremely talented player. A 30 pt game? He's had many of these with Toronto and he played against double teams every night. Now the Bulls have some great defenders so Gibson can influence Bosh but if he gets 1 on 1 and a lot of touches he'll score 30 again IMO. The next game will have its own story but LeBron and Dwade were 12 for 32 together in Game 1 and Bosh is 12 for 18. How many touches can Bosh get and still shoot let's say 60% before Chicago makes an adjustment? Can Bosh shoot at least 50% on his touches? Bosh also got to the FT line more than either LeBron or Dwade last night. He will make his free throws as well when he gets there.

If I am Tom T, why do I vary the gameplan? Continue to let Bosh beat me, right? What we are all saying/thinking is Miami crashes boards harder, King and Dwayne play a touch better (but *not* dumber) and Bulls don't get the preponderance of bounces? Under 181.5, prob Heat ML and cross fingers? And can you guys really get any meaningful action on props? if so, can someone direct me to where I can (really) bet Westbrook in this series?

Game 1 went OV by just a few points and Heat/Bulls combined for 32 of 35 from the FT line (91.4%) and Chi knocked down 10 of 21 treys. Not looking to bet any Overs here. Took UN 182. Can't get much down on props but took UN 12.5 3pters -125 for what I could.

Lebron has been "fighting a cold". Here comes a 35 point night

Good call, Frank. I with you on this one.

Frank, Thanks for the winner, would have totally missed this one had i not seen your notes on this play.