The idea of fading hot, public teams can certainly have merit, as can the idea of fading teams who may be in a look-ahead position, but my point was that in that specific game, you're taking the #3 team who's won 22 out of 25 this year, including 13 of their last 15, facing the #19 team who had lost 4 out of 5 before going on a 4 game winning streak. They broke that losing streak by beating Seton Hall, who are pretty mediocre, and Robert Morris, from a small enough conference their games aren't even lined, and Pittsburgh would have surely been favored by at least 20 if there was a line on that game. Lumping in a 22-3 team as "cold" because they lost their last game and putting a team not that far removed from a 1-4 run as "hot," not to mention describing them as "fat and happy" when they're facing the #3 team in the country, just doesn't make a lot of sense.
As initially described, I thought OS meant he was fading Villanova and just missed the fact that they'd lost a game. It never even crossed my mind that a system could take the #3 team in the country on a 13-2/22-3 run because their opponent on a 5-5 run would be "fat and happy."
