Top 25 1st Half Fade Plays

blogguy suggest a version of this system three years ago in the old LVA site. It's been very good the last three years. Work on it by Troutman, Bucky, myself, and others. You fade top 25 teams that have won three or more straight. Some are taking the dog when two top 25 teams (both having won three straight) face each other. Some others (including Shooter and my partner) are also fading for the full games. I'll just stick with the first halfs. Yes, most of my friends are all over these hot top 25 teams. Warning: the system has been red-hot, and should cool off.

Some are taking the dog when two top 25 teams (both having won three straight) face e [QUOTE=Old School;16972]blogguy suggest a version of this system three years ago in the old LVA site. It's been very good the last three years. Work on it by Troutman, Bucky, myself, and others. You fade top 25 teams that have won three or more straight. Some are taking the dog when two top 25 teams (both having won three straight) face each other. Some others (including Shooter and my partner) are also fading for the full games. I'll just stick with the first halfs. Yes, most of my friends are all over these hot top 25 teams. Warning: the system has been red-hot, and should cool off.[/QUOTE] OS...in the situation where two Top 25 teams are playing each other, if I understand you correctly, the system calls for playing the dog in the "first half"...even though some folks are betting them for the game, too. Is that correct? I knew the play was the dog when two Top 25 play each other, but I was just never sure if it was the dog for the first half or the dog for the game. And thanks very much for making the board aware of this system. It's been VERY good to me. However, I agree with you that it's due to slow down a bit soon. Thanks, again!

[QUOTE=Old School;16972]blogguy suggest a version of this system three years ago in the old LVA site. It's been very good the last three years. Work on it by Troutman, Bucky, myself, and others. You fade top 25 teams that have won three or more straight. Some are taking the dog when two top 25 teams (both having won three straight) face each other. Some others (including Shooter and my partner) are also fading for the full games. I'll just stick with the first halfs. Yes, most of my friends are all over these hot top 25 teams. Warning: the system has been red-hot, and should cool off.[/QUOTE] am i missing something or does unlv not fit this system vs san diego?? just curious. ill be playing these small...thanks for the help

[QUOTE=fullvalue1212;16978]am i missing something or does unlv not fit this system vs san diego?? just curious. ill be playing these small...thanks for the help[/QUOTE] SD is a play, not SD ST teams to fade must have at least 3 wins in a row

Sunny Is Right [QUOTE=sunnyisle69;16980]SD is a play, not SD ST teams to fade must have at least 3 wins in a row[/QUOTE] UNLV lost their last game to New Mexico so they won't qualify as a 1st half fade until they win 3 in a row. So no play on SD St today.

I have #855 Louisville and #858 Illinois as first half fades for Sunday.

We started betting on 1/18. First half fades are 55-26. Full game fades are now 52-29 (after going 4-4 on sat). Both % are too high to maintain (duh!).

[QUOTE=Old School;17049]We started betting on 1/18. First half fades are 55-26. Full game fades are now 52-29 (after going 4-4 on sat). Both % are too high to maintain (duh!).[/QUOTE] OS--if your fear is a reversion to the mean for the system--what is your short term strategy going forward? Do you quit playing the system, play for less, or continue betting the 1st half fades for 2 units?

I'm not greedy, and I do expect a losing streak. I'm now betting only 1/2 unit on first halfs. My partner is continuing to bet 2 units on first halfs and 1 unit on full games. I'm sure the math guys would continue to bet the same.