Wnba official fezzik thread

I have been putting in NFL time, and the lines have been getting hit hard early..........

Minny/LA 2hlf UNDER 84ish 2 weight.

What is the line here? 82.5 pops up first, is the line for a while, get some 83 for a bit , a brief moment of 83.5, down to 83. "Minny/LA 2hlf UNDER 84ish 2 weight." Seems like a great way to get the best price available on the line movement we saw at halftime.

I'd like to understand the RAS lemmings comment?

Me too, and are the RAS lemmings > or

ADD up RAS records on lines 20 seconds after release, OR at post. Ice-berg........DEAD AHEAD. It's almost by definition.....get too good, the average followers cannot win.

That's simply not true. Wnba 3 PTs worse has been a winner since inceptions

[QUOTE=Fezzik;52831]ADD up RAS records on lines 20 seconds after release, OR at post. Ice-berg........DEAD AHEAD. It's almost by definition.....get too good, the average followers cannot win.[/QUOTE] We hit 169-140 (54.69%) lifetime against the close in the WNBA before this season, and even after a 1-5 slide over the weekend, are still 31-30 against the close YTD this season. No one has or ever would advocate playing our releases against closing numbers, but the actual records paint a much different picture than "Ice-berg" or "getting teeth kicked in", etc. The Atl/CT under 167 on June 10 is a prime example of why no one should ever be graded against a closing number in the first place. After initial movement following release, 165.5 was available parts of the day, and finding no worse than 165 would have been easy even near game time, but the actual close was 164.5, and the game landed 165. Anyone with even basic experience in line shopping and market timing, could do much better than the close on average. Fortunately, this issue only applies to people who actually beat the close and win. Those who post early overnights, 2H totals that aren't close to the market line 15 minutes before half-time, rogue numbers, and other variations of non-WA bets, yet still lose a ton of units, do not need to be concerned.

WNBA has not been good to me this year, no doubt. The WNBA market is not the Stay Puff Man it was 2 years ago. Don't Dr. Bob me here. We both know how much tighter the 2012 lines are.........having said that, I bet they get soft when football starts........

[QUOTE=Fezzik;52839]WNBA has not been good to me this year, no doubt. The WNBA market is not the Stay Puff Man it was 2 years ago. Don't Dr. Bob me here. We both know how much tighter the 2012 lines are.........having said that, I bet they get soft when football starts........[/QUOTE] We heard the same thing in 2009, 2010, and 2011, and I agree that the market has gotten tougher, but we've gotten better too. You have to be able to adapt or move on.