[QUOTE=RYAN;963]Take the money and run lakeerielenny
You were up over 60K not that long ago
Lock up the profits. Don't turn around and give it all back[/QUOTE]
The guy is up significantly over the year and your advice after the winning has ended is that you should have quit 40k ago??? WTF???
Anyhow, I will point out that the end of July through most of Aug has been very tough for many of us in baseball.
One thing that I have found success with is closely tracking my success rates during particular times of any given season. Over the years, this has given me a fairly good indication of when I am ahead of the linesmakers and when I am generally even to or even behind the curve. For example, in baseball, over many years now, I can show that for me, April will be soft, but May through July, I will generally win heavily. Once August hits, I am generally worthless in baseball.
To use an example more appropriate to many people here -- consider college hoops -- early season, I think we all crush the linesmakers. Once we are a few weeks into conference schedules, the winning cools almost every year. Not coincidentally in college hoops, limits are raised and more totals are posted as the season goes on. Generally speaking, if the books are gun shy on limits or totals, we as knowledgeable bettors have the upper hand.
Anyhow, you can use a simple spreadsheet to guage your success rates during each month of a sport to help determine when it may be time to step up and when it may be time to back off a bit.
Hopefully this is better advice than simply saying "you should have quit 40k ago". At the end of the day, all that is really important is making the appropriate sized bet for the advantage that you may have in any given situation... for me, late Aug baseball is definitely scaled back, because year in and year out, I struggle during this time frame.
