10/6-8 College Football

Shooter I get a kick out of you. You are the answer to an OCD's dream of playing almost everything. I have a deep repsect for all of your picks and just enjoy the heck out of it. Thanks.

[QUOTE=jnem;29431]Shooter I get a kick out of you. You are the answer to an OCD's dream of playing almost everything. I have a deep repsect for all of your picks and just enjoy the heck out of it. Thanks.[/QUOTE] First of all, I don't play everything. Second of all, I am so worried about getting bad #'s that I feel I have to play everything early. I was out of town last Saturday so I had to play everything in advance which caused me to have a losing record. I put in a TON of hours on this stuff and analyze it from every angle possible so I don't want to be made out to be some kind of degenerate. I play a lot of plays because I worry that if I narrow them down, then I'm going to eliminate the sure winners and only play the losers.

369 Army (+1) Tulane outgained by over a 100 yds LW at Rutgers but managed to win. Army lost at home to a decent Temple club by 7. Army is a lot better than given credit for. Army was a -6 fav LY and lost by 1 at home to Tulane LY and that probably cost them a bowl game.

Ugly dogs coming: 379 San Jose State (+23') 1st H 379 San Jose State (+39) Game Sandwich game between the battle for the Fremont Cannon with UNLV and roadie to the islands of Hawaii. SJSU did cover at Wisconsin. Also like taking the team off the loss to FCS opp (UC Davis LW). Small sample size, but teams that lose to FCS opp the week before at home are 3-2 ATS so fat this year. 381/382 San Diego St/BYU UN 52 BYU got rid of their DC LW after their loss at Utah State. Big move on the over today. Going against the steam here. BYU's offense still hasn't really figured it out either. Think they run the ball a lot and short passes to keep SDSU off the field by playing ball control. 383/384 Oregon/Washington State UN 70' 384 Washington State (+21) 1st H 384 Washington State (+36') Game Oregon off huge win over Stanford and outlasting Arizona St the week before. Clinker time. Wazzu is a little better this year and put forth solid effort at UCLA. Oregon has given up over 1100 yds combined in last two games as have the Cougars. Wazzu may not get there in this one, but you can't play Oregon laying this big chalk on the road with that kind of defense. Cougs are the only way to play this one. 385 Oregon State (+8') Mike Riley is a really good dog on the road (already covered at Boise). Arizona beat Iowa, but still hasn't proven they can lay this kind of # to a decent club. 397 Toledo (+24) 1st H 397 Toledo (+39') Game 397/398 Toledo/Boise State OV 57 Toledo laid an egg at home off 3 road dog wins like I thought they would as Wyoming won outright. Toledo was probably looking forward to this (why I have no idea). Boise continues to destroy teams, but it does them no good. In fact, I think some pollsters are actually docking them votes b/c they are being perceived as running up the score. Boise is in their last year in the WAC and obv want to go unbeaten in their last year. Meaningless conf game in mid-season. Toledo is 2-0 in the MAC so there is some concern that they may not care about this one, but it is against #4 in the country so I could see the motivation there. Every team has a sloppy effort in an easy game and it could come here. Then again, I thought that last week. 401 Rice (+10) (-120) Who the hell is UTEP to lay close to DD to anyone, with the exception of New Mexico and New Mexico St? UTEP has won three in a row over complete marshmallows (both the Land of Enchantment schools and Memphis). Rice played SMU really tough and late TO's cost them the game which they had a chance to win outright. UTEP overvalued on the line, which has moved up, due to 3-game win streak. Their defense is one of the worst I have seen in CFB. Lay this # at your peril. 403/404 Hawaii/Fresno State UN 66 Also going against the big steam here from earlier in the day. 408 Florida International (-9) FIU has played Rutgers (down to the wire), at Texas A & M (up 2 TDs in second half), at Maryland (had a couple leads in the game) at Pitt (up 1 after 3 Qtrs before it fell apart). Now they finally come back home and get someone (Western Kentucky) that they can beat up on and they will do so. I know it's dangerous to take Sun Belt conf favs and I usually look to the dog in this conference by default, but I like this one. I think Coach Cristobal will get them to put their non-conf competitiveness behind them and get them focused on the SBC opener. 409 Florida Atlantic (+3) FAU lost at home to this ULM team LY at home after they had just played at Nebraska and at South Carolina B2B weeks. FAU played at So Florida much more competitive than final score (3 TO's and a blkd punt TD) got it out of hand.

389 Purdue (+6) 1st H 389 Purdue (+10) (-125) Game 389/390 Purdue/Northwestern UN 50' Played +10 early in the week so I will put that # with the now appropriate juice. Purdue off a bye after their horrible home loss to Toledo. They had a week to get healthy and get the new QB Rob Henry (Robert Marve now out for the year) up to speed. Henry is more of a running threat than Marve. Purdue intended to throw more with Marve and I think they put some new and different wrinkles in for Henry. Northwestern comes in off late road win at Minny and are now ranked. I think the world of Pat Fitzgerald as the Cats' coach, but kids do read newspapers no matter what the highly respected coach says. They may buy into their own press clippings here. Purdue also remembers LY's game where they led 21-3 and fumbled 5 straight drives to lead to NW points.

307/308 UConn/Rutgers UN 23' 2nd H 308 Rutgers (+1') 2nd H Rutgers getting screwed by the officials. The young freshman Dodd is playing well at QB for Rutgers. All of UConn's stuff is on big plays. They have yet to sustain a drive.

0-3 last night and 4-1 tonight. Love the consistency. Should have been 5-0. ULL down 19 with 5 and a half minutes to go and still covering and were covering the whole game. They fumble and Ok State gets a frontdoor cover. Fuck!

I didn't check the entire list, but did all the "Fat & Happy" plays from SFW mak your play list, for both the first half and full game? And, do you play the 1st half and FG for the same ammount? BOL on Sat

I think I pretty much played most of them. I would have likely played the fulls anyway, but I added the 1st halves as well. Yeah I play pretty much the same amount.

Thanks--it's funny--in buckets I play the 1st halves for 2 units and the full games for 1 or none--but for some reason in football I play the full games for 2 units and the 1st halves for one or none, if I don't think I get a good 1st half line