10 Point Teasers?

10 Point Teasers? Any of you play these regularly? A lot of candidates for 10 point teasers in the next week, including tonight's game. Baltimore, New Orleans, New England, Dallas, Minnesota, and Pittsburgh. I already put in a few combinations with Baltimore. Am I right in assuming each of these legs need to be above 85% for a profitable bet?

At -120 for a 3 teamer, it would be 81.7%, but that does not account for the any tie pushes the whole bet issue. Each leg equates to a ML of -447 per leg so yes they can be bettable at times including this week.

To calculate the breakeven percentage, you convert the odds to a probability and take the Xth root of that probability, where X is the number of legs in the teaser. So for a 3 team teaser at -120, it's the 3rd root of .545, or 81.7% as posted above.

Need a Little Help [QUOTE=skrtelfan;9655]To calculate the breakeven percentage, you convert the odds to a probability and take the Xth root of that probability, where X is the number of legs in the teaser. So for a 3 team teaser at -120, it's the 3rd root of .545, or 81.7% as posted above.[/QUOTE] I see where you get the 81.7% (.817x.817x.817=.545) but how did you get the .545 to start with? Thanks.

-120 = 120/220 = .545

Thanks [QUOTE=ahearnb;9689]-120 = 120/220 = .545[/QUOTE] So the 220 is the sum of the 120 one lays to win 100?

Yes. To convert a favorite ML to a probability, calculate ML/(ML+100). To convert an underdog ML, calculate 100/(ML+100).

Thank! [QUOTE=skrtelfan;9695]Yes. To convert a favorite ML to a probability, calculate ML/(ML+100). To convert an underdog ML, calculate 100/(ML+100).[/QUOTE] That helps me alot!

I've got the right number, about 85% as I have mine at -130. Still haven't heard if anyone plays these. Are these 11 point favorites 85% historically?

[QUOTE=mofobes;9750]I've got the right number, about 85% as I have mine at -130. Still haven't heard if anyone plays these. Are these 11 point favorites 85% historically?[/QUOTE] More like 82.7% which makes a big difference. The way to make the determination of what plays qualify is to take the fair ML (middle between the fav and dog), convert to a percentage and if that percentage exceeds 82.7%, that leg is ok. However, with an 11 point fave as opposed to a 10 or 10.5 (small risk of tie which results in loss), you have the risk of a one point win which isn't factored into the ML so the number would need to be slightly better (I don't know how much). Someone with more knowledge than me can tell you how much difference this makes, but I would guess that it would be very small (maybe add a 1/10 of a percent to 82.8%). If ties lose rather than push, it would be more.