Any info on some of these historical trends would be appreciated. I know that home dogs cover over 50% of the time. I've often thought that there is money to be made in betting the home team in conference play in college football and basketball, but I don't have the statistics to back it up. Is there a website with historical data like that?
Like I said, any help is appreciated. It's amateur hour over here. Four straight losses. Ariz, over, Carolina, over. I did well a couple of years ago by betting against the team that I thought everyone would bet on. I think I hit almost 60% that year. It didn't seem to work as well last year. Let me correct that. I lost my ass last year.
One thing I read that I think Fezzik said was that if you aren't a professional, you simply can't bet against a historical trend. Why would you bet ON something that happens only 47% of the time, and that's not even counting juice? That is the info I'm looking for. Tell me home teams cover on Monday night 54% of the time over the last 15 years and that makes my choice easy. I'm not good enough to bet on a 46% winner. Maybe I will be some day, but not today. I just want enough info to keep from going broke by the end of the year. I'm happy to pay juice. If I lose 5% on the year, it was worth the entertainment. Losing 15% just isn't doable.
Sorry for the long read.
