2nd half basics?

2nd half basics? A lot of guys in here, writes that 2nd half betting is one of the most profitable places to bet. But what are the basics? I guess the pregame line has something to say, and what the score is also. But what else: boxscore, injuries etc? Who starts with the ball might also has something to say. Whats the most important things for picking winners in 2nd half betting?

I use Pre-game Line and Total (especially for middles, moreso on totals). Who gets the ball first is also a factor. Stats are important as well (most specifically who is running the ball better). Turnovers/Special Teams scoring/mistakes also a factor.

Thx Shooter Which factors do you think are the most important? Whats the value for starting with the ball in the 2nd half? 0.5-1 point? Is there other guys who could chip in with some info. Fezzik - you always seem to talk about half time wagering as the money train?

This is what I have collected over time: Who gets the ball is factored into the line already Injuries, especially when the return is "questionable" but clearly "out," are not. Something I look at it, which I have not seen discussed but also may not be a legitimate datapoint, is ignoring yards accrued after the 2-minute warning if it results in scoring. Defenses soften up then, and if a couple 20-yard plays with 30 seconds left inflate YPP numbers it can screw up your handicapping.

I don't think you are going to find many people willing to post what they use exactly. For me, its a combo of: yards in the half by each team score differential turnovers injuries yards per play recent trend (2nd q and 2half of 2nd q) coaches (do they hate each other, do they like to run up the score) Lines seem to have been moved to0 low recently. I play a LOT of overs and a small number of faves when the yardage is like 350 to 70 with a line of under -7. I also play the occasional dog when the team had more yards in the 1H. Up till last year, I mainly played unders. I'm going to begin posting my plays as I did tonight. In tonights game, the reasoning was: Toledo could not stop N IL at all on their last 3-4 drives. I figured they were good for at least 17-21 in the 2H. If Toledo could score once we'd get the over either because they got more competitive or got a garbage end of game TD. In terms of the side, half time yards were like 270 to 70 or so (I can't recall) and to me that should be -7.5, not -4 assuming the two coaches are likely to pile on points which is what we always see in these mid tier conferences. In the NFL whether home or away is winning has a big impact on totals though not as much this year as in previous years. My NFL 2Hs have been a wash this year where as it was great for a few years. Another thing worth noting is in CFB they will never hang a line over 31 or below 20.5. Last weekend, MI/IL should have been something like 40 or even 42 per my opinion. They hung it at 30.5, it incredibly moved all the way to 32, which you NEVER see. With overtime they scored like 50 or 60 or so. The over in the 2H was my biggest bet I've ever played. Some other examples of great overs hung at 31 were East Carolina and Oregon. Neither one had any business being below 35. Sharps are trained when they see 31 to bet under and the books know they can't put up 35 or they get one side action. -Sean

[QUOTE=sean1;32267]I don't think you are going to find many people willing to post what they use exactly. For me, its a combo of: yards in the half by each team score differential turnovers injuries yards per play recent trend (2nd q and 2half of 2nd q) coaches (do they hate each other, do they like to run up the score) Lines seem to have been moved to0 low recently. I play a LOT of overs and a small number of faves when the yardage is like 350 to 70 with a line of under -7. I also play the occasional dog when the team had more yards in the 1H. Up till last year, I mainly played unders. I'm going to begin posting my plays as I did tonight. In tonights game, the reasoning was: Toledo could not stop N IL at all on their last 3-4 drives. I figured they were good for at least 17-21 in the 2H. If Toledo could score once we'd get the over either because they got more competitive or got a garbage end of game TD. In terms of the side, half time yards were like 270 to 70 or so (I can't recall) and to me that should be -7.5, not -4 assuming the two coaches are likely to pile on points which is what we always see in these mid tier conferences. In the NFL whether home or away is winning has a big impact on totals though not as much this year as in previous years. My NFL 2Hs have been a wash this year where as it was great for a few years. Another thing worth noting is in CFB they will never hang a line over 31 or below 20.5. Last weekend, MI/IL should have been something like 40 or even 42 per my opinion. They hung it at 30.5, it incredibly moved all the way to 32, which you NEVER see. With overtime they scored like 50 or 60 or so. The over in the 2H was my biggest bet I've ever played. Some other examples of great overs hung at 31 were East Carolina and Oregon. Neither one had any business being below 35. Sharps are trained when they see 31 to bet under and the books know they can't put up 35 or they get one side action. -Sean[/QUOTE] Thanks for your thoughts. Much appreciated.